Speaker summary
70%11 analyzed articles/videos178.667 analyzed words
BS Summary: These Kalshi results contain 13 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Ambiguity (Equivocation), and Self-Serving Bias, with Attempt to Sell a Product or Service as the most egregious example at 66.9% saturation with 157.899 hits. Analysis detected 554.899 faulty-reasoning hits from 178.667 analyzed words across 11 articles, generating a BS Score of 12.5% and a BS Rank of 17% (23,579 of 28,364 speakers). This Kalshi is better (less manipulative) than 83.10% of the peer group.

Ranking context

Position among analyzed speakers

17% percentile
025507510016.9% percentile
12.5% BS Score11 analyzed videos178.7 analyzed words

Reasoning profile

Selected profile versus the sitewide rate

SpeakerSitewideShared scale 0–75%
0.0%20%40%60%Attempt to Sell a Product…Sitewide 0.5%Speaker 66.9%66.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)Sitewide 0.8%Speaker 13.2%13.2%Blind-Spot BiasSitewide 0.2%Speaker 10.3%10.3%Appeal to AuthoritySitewide 11.1%Speaker 19.2%19.2%Self-Serving BiasSitewide 3.7%Speaker 11.5%11.5%Red HerringSitewide 0.7%Speaker 6.5%6.5%Post Hoc (False Cause)Sitewide 3.3%Speaker 7.9%7.9%Representativeness Heuris…Sitewide 1.9%Speaker 3.6%3.6%BandwagonSitewide 2.2%Speaker 3.8%3.8%Availability HeuristicSitewide 9.1%Speaker 7.9%7.9%

Sitewide departure map

Above the diagonal means this profile uses the pattern more often

0.0%0.0%20%20%40%40%60%60%Attempt to Sell a Product or Service: Speaker 66.9%, sitewide 0.5%Appeal to Authority: Speaker 19.2%, sitewide 11.1%Ambiguity (Equivocation): Speaker 13.2%, sitewide 0.8%Self-Serving Bias: Speaker 11.5%, sitewide 3.7%Blind-Spot Bias: Speaker 10.3%, sitewide 0.2%Availability Heuristic: Speaker 7.9%, sitewide 9.1%Post Hoc (False Cause): Speaker 7.9%, sitewide 3.3%Red Herring: Speaker 6.5%, sitewide 0.7%Biased Writer Voice: Speaker 4.3%, sitewide 5.3%Overconfidence Bias: Speaker 3.8%, sitewide 4.6%Anchoring Bias: Speaker 3.1%, sitewide 4.0%Bandwagon: Speaker 3.8%, sitewide 2.2%Representativeness Heuristic: Speaker 3.6%, sitewide 1.9%Attempt to Sell a Product or ServiceSitewide rateSpeaker rate

Analyzed articles and videos

The Miami Heat, LeBron James, and prediction markets: How a ‘mistake’ social media post turbocharged a $245 million wager68%
Fortune54%By Catherina Gioino36% Joshua Hong86%7/23/2026, 12:50:02 PM
Slog AM: Try to Stay Cool, More Washington Journalists Strike over AI, and How Not to See ‘The Odyssey’ for the Right Reasons59%
The Stranger85%By Hunter Pauli77%7/21/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Chip stock sell-off, Netflix earnings, Trump's approval rating and more in Morning Squawk41%
CNBC54%By Alex Harring0%7/17/2026, 5:35:44 AM
Truth Social Is Selling Instant Access to Trump’s Posts to Banks and Traders60%
Truthout74%By Sharon Zhang79%7/16/2026, 2:30:29 PM
Predicting biotech clinical trials and a new Alzheimer’s drug controversy74%
STAT44%By Elaine Chen14% Adam Feuerstein43% Allison DeAngelis25%7/16/2026, 1:06:43 PM
Teleprompter Operator Made $100K Betting on Trump’s Speeches41%
The New Republic72%By Hafiz Rashid68%7/16/2026, 9:53:26 AM
George Santos' next gig? Reality TV show contestant28%
ABC News22%By ANTHONY IZAGUIRRE Associated Press29%7/15/2026, 2:50:37 PM
OpenAI Strikes Bold Deal With Kalshi to Mix Together the Most Hated Technologies in Existence: AI and Prediction Markets41%
Futurism88%By Frank Landymore67%7/15/2026, 12:33:08 PM
It sure sounds like LeBron James is heading back to Cleveland to end his career with the Cavaliers75%
OutKick89%By Bobby Burack0%7/6/2026, 2:17:15 PM
‘My mayor Muslim, my bagel’s Jewish’: who’s behind the Knicks chant uniting New York?29%
The Guardian81%By Matthew Cantor0%6/11/2026, 9:35:05 AM