BS Summary: This article contains 22 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Availability Heuristic, and Recency Bias, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 19.6% saturation with 174 hits. Analysis detected 929 faulty-reasoning hits from 887 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 45.5% and a BS Rank of 41% (13,027 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 59.50% of the article peer group.

This is CNBC's Morning Squawk newsletter. 
Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox. 
Happy Friday. 
There are vastly different numbers floating around about the great wealth transfer. 
CNBC's Robert Frank explains why the estimates can vary so widely. 
Stock futures are sliding this morning following a down session yesterday. 
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day: 
1. 
Blown fuse 
Nasdaq-100 futures dropped as much as 2% in premarket trading this morning as tech stocks continue to lead the market lower. 
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has dropped nearly 7% this week, as of Thursday's close, putting it on track for one of its sharpest weekly declines in the past year. 
Here's what to know: 
* An increased spending forecast from Taiwan Semiconductor sparked a sell-off in the chip sector yesterday. 
Chipmakers including Arm Holdings , Micron Technology and Advanced Micro Devices all lost more than 5% in Thursday's session. 
* Tech's troubles weren't limited to hardware: Alphabet shares dropped 4% following a report that the Google parent is delaying the release of its artificial intelligence model. 
* The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average sidestepped some of the market turmoil, thanks in part to UnitedHealth's post-earnings gain. 
* Still, all three major indexes are on track for negative weeks. 
* Follow live market updates here. 
2. 
Net negative 
Netflix 's second-quarter results were roughly in line with Wall Street's expectations, but disappointing earnings guidance from the streamer sent the stock down more than 11% in extended trading. 
Netflix also said Thursday that it would reduce the frequency of its "What We Watched" engagement reports. 
The metric has been in the spotlight following reports that viewership for the streamer's series drops after the first season. 
Still, the company described engagement with its content as "healthy." 
Netflix raised subscription prices earlier this year. 
It said the results of those hikes were in line with its expectations and past raises. 
3. 
Pulse check 
Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the economy, and they're blaming President Donald Trump, according to CNBC's latest All-America Economic Survey out this morning. 
Roughly 60% of those surveyed said they had a bad view of the current state of the economy and the outlook for the future  the highest such reading since late 2023. 
About the same percentage said they disapprove of how Trump has handled the economy. 
The president's net approval rating stands at 40%, according to the poll. 
The survey also found that voters would more likely support a democratic socialist candidate than a Trump-endorsed candidate or candidate tied to the Make America Great Again movement. 
But socialism is still less popular than capitalism in the U.S., according to the poll. 
Get Morning Squawk directly in your inbox 
CNBC's Morning Squawk recaps the biggest stories investors should know before the stock market opens, every weekday morning. 
Subscribe here to get access today. 
4. 
Retail theft 
The next wave of organized retail crime is upon us. 
Police say that digital forms of theft such as tap-to-pay schemes and app fraud are allowing Chinese gangs to rake in as much as $1 billion a year. 
Rather than steal from store shelves, the fraudsters are using stolen credit cards and digital payment systems to purchase gift cards. 
Experts say the thieves target retailers because they don't have the same amount of security as banks, but their systems still house sensitive information. 
While there's no clear data on how much retailers lose from this type of crime, CNBC found around a dozen criminal cases in the U.S. tied to digital forms of retail theft. 
5. 
Regulators and operators 
Event contract exchanges have long been regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. 
But legal experts are now expecting its sibling agency, the U.S. 
Securities and Exchange Commission, to play a role in prediction market oversight as platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket boom. 
A Polymarket spokesperson told CNBC that it has engaged with both the CFTC and SEC on definitional frameworks for prediction market offerings. 
Kalshi declined to comment. 
Meanwhile, the CFTC is investigating Trump's longtime teleprompter operator after he allegedly made Kalshi bets on statements from the president. 
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said Thursday that the teleprompter operator had been placed on unpaid leave. 
The Daily Dividend 
Here are some stories you might have missed this week: 
* Elon Musk's Memphis AI empire is the epicenter of the data center backlash 
* Trump doubles down on 2020 election claims in national address, alleging China meddling 
* Microsoft's Nadella criticizes Anthropic's Fable for being 'editorially controlled' 
* New York becomes first U.S. state to impose AI data center ban 
* T. rex sells for $50 million, becoming the most expensive dinosaur fossil ever auctioned 
* Why the housing market is hurting so much this summer 
* Trump Media launches paid data service to help Wall Street track Trump's posts 
—CNBC's Sean Conlon, Annika Kim Constantino, Lillian Rizzo, Gabrielle Fonrouge, Scott Zamost, Anna Gleason, Steve Liesman, Garrett Downs, Ananya Chetia and Davis Giangiulio contributed to this report. 
Luke Fountain assisted in the production of this newsletter. 
Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition. 
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 4.6%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 1.4%Alex Harring: 0.5%CNBC: 1.9%Anchoring Bias1.4%This article: 8.7%Alex Harring: 5.7%CNBC: 3.1%Availability Heuristic8.7%This article: 3.2%Alex Harring: 1.1%CNBC: 1.1%Representativeness Heuristic3.2%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.4%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 2.8%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 1.7%Alex Harring: 2.7%CNBC: 6.5%Framing Effect1.7%This article: 3.3%Alex Harring: 1.1%CNBC: 0.8%Loss Aversion3.3%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.8%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 3.2%Alex Harring: 1.1%CNBC: 7.7%Optimism Bias3.2%This article: 3.8%Alex Harring: 2.1%CNBC: 2.1%Pessimism Bias3.8%This article: 19.6%Alex Harring: 15.4%CNBC: 6.4%Negativity Bias19.6%This article: 1.8%Alex Harring: 0.6%CNBC: 1.3%Self-Serving Bias1.8%This article: 2.7%Alex Harring: 0.9%CNBC: 0.7%Fundamental Attribution Error2.7%This article: 2.3%Alex Harring: 0.8%CNBC: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias2.3%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.7%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 2.1%CNBC: 0.5%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 3.8%Alex Harring: 1.3%CNBC: 2.9%Halo Effect3.8%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 7.1%Alex Harring: 5.1%CNBC: 2.2%Recency Bias7.1%This article: 1.5%Alex Harring: 0.5%CNBC: 0.4%Primacy Effect1.5%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.2%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 14.3%Alex Harring: 4.8%CNBC: 5.0%Appeal to Authority14.3%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 1.1%CNBC: 1.0%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 1.1%Alex Harring: 0.4%CNBC: 0.6%Slippery Slope1.1%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 3.2%Alex Harring: 4.5%CNBC: 4.2%Hasty Generalization3.2%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.2%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.6%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.8%CNBC: 2.5%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.7%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 7.1%Alex Harring: 5.1%CNBC: 3.3%Post Hoc (False Cause)7.1%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 3.6%Alex Harring: 1.2%CNBC: 1.3%Anecdotal3.6%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 1.7%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.0%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 3.6%Alex Harring: 1.2%CNBC: 2.5%Unattributed Quote3.6%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 1.1%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 1.1%Alex Harring: 1.0%CNBC: 3.7%Biased Writer Voice1.1%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.9%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.7%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Alex Harring: 0.0%CNBC: 0.1%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 6.8%Alex Harring: 4.6%CNBC: 5.1%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…6.8%

887 words analyzed.

Speakers

6speakers7.8%attributed speech818writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageRobert Frank • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 17 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 28 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 28 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 3 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coveragePolymarket • 22 words • 0.0% coverageKalshi • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageKaroline Leavitt • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 3 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageLuke Fountain • 9 words • 0.0% coverageJosephine Rozzelle • 5 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Polymarket

100%flagged-word coverage
22 attributed words32% of attributed speech71% writer coverage
0%5.0%10.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -7.3 ptsWriter: 7.3%Polymarket: 0.0%0.0%Unattributed Quote-3.9 ptsWriter: 3.9%Polymarket: 0.0%0.0%Biased Writer Voice-1.2 ptsWriter: 1.2%Polymarket: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.