In the deal with Iran, Trump settled for much less than he set out to get ⁠88%

By Michael Birnbaum⁠0%

6/14/2026, 9:16:03 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 10 faulty reasoning types, including Negativity Bias, Post Hoc (False Cause), and Biased Writer Voice, with Hindsight Bias as the most egregious example at 41.3% saturation with 31 hits. Analysis detected 263 faulty-reasoning hits from 75 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 80% and a BS Rank of ⁠88% (2,822 of 21,887 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 87.10% of the article peer group.

President Donald Trump declared an end to his campaign against Iran’s leaders with an exhortation on Sunday: “Ships of the World, start your engines. 
Let the oil flow!” 
With the Iranian regime still in place, he was celebrating a resumption of the way the world was on Feb. 27, the day before the United States and Israel attacked Iran. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 4.7%The Washington Post: 3.8%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 21.3%Michael Birnbaum: 2.3%The Washington Post: 1.3%Anchoring Bias21.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 4.0%The Washington Post: 4.9%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.5%The Washington Post: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 41.3%Michael Birnbaum: 3.5%The Washington Post: 0.5%Hindsight Bias41.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 3.3%The Washington Post: 1.2%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 32.0%Michael Birnbaum: 33.3%The Washington Post: 21.5%Framing Effect32.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 1.3%The Washington Post: 0.8%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.9%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 6.2%The Washington Post: 3.6%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 1.8%The Washington Post: 3.6%Pessimism Bias0.0%This article: 41.3%Michael Birnbaum: 27.5%The Washington Post: 18.5%Negativity Bias41.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.2%The Washington Post: 1.5%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 3.8%The Washington Post: 0.9%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.3%The Washington Post: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 2.0%The Washington Post: 2.2%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.8%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 2.9%The Washington Post: 2.1%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.7%The Washington Post: 0.4%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 2.3%The Washington Post: 2.4%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 2.1%The Washington Post: 1.0%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.6%The Washington Post: 0.9%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 3.0%The Washington Post: 5.2%Appeal to Authority0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 1.6%The Washington Post: 1.5%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 1.0%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 21.3%Michael Birnbaum: 6.9%The Washington Post: 5.9%Hasty Generalization21.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.5%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 4.2%The Washington Post: 6.3%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.3%The Washington Post: 1.0%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 41.3%Michael Birnbaum: 4.9%The Washington Post: 4.5%Post Hoc (False Cause)41.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.6%The Washington Post: 0.2%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.2%The Washington Post: 0.6%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 2.2%The Washington Post: 1.9%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.2%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 5.7%The Washington Post: 2.7%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 0.2%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 37.3%Michael Birnbaum: 7.0%The Washington Post: 4.8%Unattributed Quote37.3%This article: 32.0%Michael Birnbaum: 3.1%The Washington Post: 2.5%Quote-first Misdirection32.0%This article: 41.3%Michael Birnbaum: 28.5%The Washington Post: 15.2%Biased Writer Voice41.3%This article: 41.3%Michael Birnbaum: 3.1%The Washington Post: 2.0%Indoctrination41.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 4.2%The Washington Post: 3.6%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 1.0%The Washington Post: 1.4%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Birnbaum: 0.0%The Washington Post: 1.5%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

75 words analyzed.

Speakers

1speaker32%attributed speech51writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageDonald Trump • 24 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 100.0% coverage
Selected voice

Donald Trump

100%flagged-word coverage
24 attributed words100% of attributed speech100% writer coverage
0%50.0%100.0%Quote-first Misdirection+100.0 ptsWriter: 0.0%Donald Trump: 100.0%100.0%Unattributed Quote+92.2 ptsWriter: 7.8%Donald Trump: 100.0%100.0%Biased Writer Voice-60.8 ptsWriter: 60.8%Donald Trump: 0.0%0.0%Indoctrination-60.8 ptsWriter: 60.8%Donald Trump: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.