US economic growth revised lower in fourth quarter73%

By Eric Revell74%

3/13/2026, 12:45:57 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 8 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Pessimism Bias, and Confirmation Bias, with Framing Effect as the most egregious example at 25.8% saturation with 133 hits. Analysis detected 492 faulty-reasoning hits from 515 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 65.3% and a BS Rank of 73% (5,942 of 21,887 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 72.90% of the article peer group.

The U.S. economy grew at a slower rate than previously thought in the fourth quarter after the Commerce Department released its first revision of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the latest quarter. 
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its second estimate of fourth-quarter GDP, which showed the economy grew at a 0.7% rate. 
That was slower than the 1.4% estimate of economists polled by LSEG, and below the Commerce Department's initial fourth-quarter GDP estimate of 1.4%. 
Taken together with the 0.6% GDP contraction in the first quarter of 2025, as well as increases of 3.8% in the second quarter and 4.4% in the third quarter, the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of about 2.08% in 2025. 
That figure is subject to change as the BEA will release a final revision to the fourth quarter GDP figure released today as more data comes in. 
The BEA noted that the rise in consumer spending and investment boosted real GDP in the fourth quarter, but those gains were partly offset by decreases in exports and government spending. 
Imports also declined in the quarter. 
FED'S FAVORED INFLATION GAUGE REMAINED STUBBORNLY HIGH IN JANUARY AS CONSUMER PRICE PRESSURES PERSIST 
Downward revisions to exports, consumer spending, government spending and investment, as well as imports declining less than previously estimated, contributed to fourth quarter GDP being 0.7 percentage points lower than in the advance estimate. 
Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, which is the sum of consumer spending and gross private fixed investment, rose 1.9% in the fourth quarter. 
That figure was revised down by 0.5 percentage points from the prior estimate. 
ENERGY SECRETARY WRIGHT SAYS US COULD SOON ESCORT TANKERS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ, BUT ‘NOT READY’ YET 
The release of the report was delayed by the partial government shutdown that ran from October until mid-November, which also affected the GDP data because of its impact on the federal government's spending as well as consumer spending by federal workers whose paychecks were delayed. 
BEA is unable to quantify the full effects of the shutdown, though it estimated that the reduction in federal government services reduced real GDP growth in the fourth quarter by about 1 percentage point. 
TRUMP SAYS US ‘LARGEST OIL PRODUCER IN THE WORLD,’ BUT PRIORITY REMAINS STOPPING IRAN NUCLEAR CAPABILITIES 
What experts are saying 
"With markets laser-focused on oil prices and geopolitics, today's numbers may mostly fly under the radar." 
Despite signs of economic softening, more sticky inflation data simply strengthens the idea that the Fed will remain on the sidelines," said Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management." 
Bret Kenwell, eToro U.S. investment analyst, noted that the "downward revisions were broad-based; the most meaningful decline coming from personal consumption, which accounts for roughly two-thirds of U.S. GDP." 
"The Fed is now looking at an environment where inflation remains sticky and will soon get an energy-fueled boost, while GDP growth and the labor market continue to lose momentum." 
That is not an easy setup for aggressive rate cuts unless the economy shows clearer signs of meaningful deterioration," Kenwell added." 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 9.3%Eric Revell: 2.6%FoxBusiness: 4.4%Confirmation Bias9.3%This article: 7.0%Eric Revell: 4.7%FoxBusiness: 3.4%Anchoring Bias7.0%This article: 3.1%Eric Revell: 3.6%FoxBusiness: 4.1%Availability Heuristic3.1%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 1.3%FoxBusiness: 1.1%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.4%FoxBusiness: 0.7%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 3.0%FoxBusiness: 3.7%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 25.8%Eric Revell: 11.0%FoxBusiness: 12.9%Framing Effect25.8%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 1.4%FoxBusiness: 1.5%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 1.4%FoxBusiness: 1.1%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 9.5%FoxBusiness: 8.8%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 16.1%Eric Revell: 1.7%FoxBusiness: 2.0%Pessimism Bias16.1%This article: 8.5%Eric Revell: 6.9%FoxBusiness: 7.9%Negativity Bias8.5%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 2.5%FoxBusiness: 4.5%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.5%FoxBusiness: 0.9%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.6%FoxBusiness: 1.7%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.8%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 3.1%FoxBusiness: 3.8%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 2.8%FoxBusiness: 2.3%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.4%FoxBusiness: 0.4%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.2%FoxBusiness: 0.8%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.4%Straw Man0.0%This article: 19.8%Eric Revell: 6.7%FoxBusiness: 7.2%Appeal to Authority19.8%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 1.2%FoxBusiness: 1.6%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 5.8%Eric Revell: 0.8%FoxBusiness: 1.2%Slippery Slope5.8%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.2%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 4.2%FoxBusiness: 6.3%Hasty Generalization0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.4%FoxBusiness: 0.8%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.9%FoxBusiness: 1.2%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 3.4%FoxBusiness: 6.1%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.8%FoxBusiness: 1.2%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 3.9%FoxBusiness: 4.4%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.2%FoxBusiness: 0.3%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 1.0%FoxBusiness: 2.4%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 2.1%FoxBusiness: 1.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.2%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.3%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 1.3%FoxBusiness: 1.8%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 3.2%FoxBusiness: 4.1%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 0.7%FoxBusiness: 2.1%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Eric Revell: 2.8%FoxBusiness: 4.4%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

515 words analyzed.

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Analysis

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