ABC News22%

Texas Hill Country floods test new warning systems after last year’s deadly disaster 47%

By CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press0% REBECCA BOONE Associated Press20%

7/18/2026, 11:15:23 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 25 faulty reasoning types, including Anecdotal, Optimism Bias, and Availability Heuristic, with Appeal to Authority as the most egregious example at 23.1% saturation with 255 hits. Analysis detected 1,746 faulty-reasoning hits from 1,105 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 48.7% and a BS Rank of 47% (11,619 of 21,886 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 53.10% of the article peer group.

After deadly floods killed more than 100 people in Texas' Hill Country last July, officials vowed major changes in hopes of preventing the failures that contributed to the high death toll. 
They promised better flood warning systems, tighter safety rules for children's camps and improvements to the state's water infrastructure. 
That work was far from done when a new round of storms began pummeling the state this week, triggering catastrophic flash floods in some of the same areas devastated in 2025. 
At least two people died. 
Hundreds needed rescue. 
But residents in some hard-hit areas said a year of preparation did make a difference. 
Newly installed flood sirens sounded in the darkness, warning people to get out. 
Phones buzzed with alerts that weren't sent out in last year's disaster. 
Still, stories of people surprised to find their homes inundated by rising rivers illustrate the challenges of trying to bolster early warning systems in a vast, rural area known as Flash Flood Alley. 
Over the last decade, a variety of Texas state and local agencies missed opportunities to implement flood warning systems along the Guadalupe River, the AP reported after last summer’s floods killed 136 people, including 28 at a sleepaway camp for girls. 
That changed after the tragedy as lawmakers and others scrutinized a lack of preparedness by government agencies and riverside camps. 
Unlike last summer, when local officials in Kerr County said they had been reluctant to “cry wolf” and order evacuations and failed to send out wireless alerts to warn of flash floods, Kerr County issued four alerts and the city of Kerrville issued one early on Thursday as the risk for flooding became apparent, according to an Associated Press review of available data. 
They warned residents along Quinlan Creek to evacuate to higher ground, and of “extremely dangerous” flash flooding. 
Those alerts came alongside flood watches, warnings and emergencies sent to broadcast outlets, weather radios and mobile phones by the National Weather Service. 
People who signed up for the CodeRED notification emergency system in Kerr County also received text message warnings. 
“Last year, we got no alarms. 
We had no idea what was going on,” said Suzanne Sutphin Gschwind, of Kerrville. 
“This year, very different,” she said, with multiple texts and calls coming in from local authorities, a weather channel and her doorbell camera. 
One night the warnings arrived “about every two hours.” 
“I think we would all like to err on the side of too much,” she said. 
Between the early morning hours of Tuesday and about 9 a.m. 
Thursday, the National Weather Service sent 38 alerts to people in certain southwest Texas communities, including 14 tornado warnings and 24 warnings that flooding was occurring or imminent and could be “life threatening.” 
Those Weather Service notifications, though, often don’t contain the highly localized information put in alerts sometimes sent by municipal and county emergency agencies  and people in some places may not have gotten any of those local alerts, which can be more decisive for people considering whether to seek high ground. 
An Associated Press review of wireless emergency alert data did not find any listed as sent by agencies in Uvalde County, which was hit hard by flooding, though agencies in that county might have used other means to alert the public. 
Jaclyn Gonzales was awakened at 2 a.m. 
Wednesday by a friend who called to warn that a tornado might be headed toward her Uvalde-area home. 
When she jumped out of bed, the floor was wet. 
“It was the shock of the water to my feet that made me really wake up,” she said. 
Kat Sprawls only learned floodwaters were nearing her Batesville home when a friend called her at 3:30 a.m. 
Friday. 
It took five or six calls before she woke up, because she had her phone on do-not-disturb mode. 
“There's no warning system at all. 
It's just like the flood in Kerrville last year  we had no warnings,” Sprawls said. 
“Over half of Batesville is under water now." 
Zavala County Sheriff's Department secretary Jessica Belmarez said the department is updating its Facebook page with evacuation information and that law enforcement officers were going door-to-door in affected areas, including Batesville. 
Newly installed sirens in Ingram and in Kerr and Kendall counties were used this week to warn residents, said state Sen. 
Paul Bettencourt, who authored legislation in 2025 to help fund the sirens. 
Twenty-eight additional counties are also eligible for flood warning funding. 
Most are in the process of putting together implementation plans for review by the Texas Water Development Board. 
“Between the outdoor sirens, and the cellphone alerts, the response was very positive in getting people out of the way and to higher ground,” Bettencourt said. 
“It’s an enormous improvement over a year ago.” 
Three of six new sirens installed in Kerr County were used to warn people to seek high ground, said Tara Bushnoe, manager of the Upper Guadalupe River Authority. 
The other three were in areas with only minor flooding, Bushnoe said. 
The small town of Comfort had one warning siren for years. 
The volunteer fire department recently installed two more. 
“Some people just don’t want to leave  that’s our problem here,” said Danny Morales, the assistant fire chief. 
“But we did set them off twice, probably an hour from one to another, just because we had people just lingering, and not wanting to move." 
Ian Cunningham founded River Sentry after the 2025 floods, building flood siren towers for privately owned sites like RV parks, camps and hotels. 
The sirens are triggered by rising water levels. 
So far, the company has installed 104 sirens along the Guadalupe River, Cunningham said, including several near the site of an RV park where more than three dozen people died in 2025. 
“We installed them about three months ago and did not expect them to be used so soon,” Cunningham said. 
Hononu, which has developed water-level sensor technology and a real-time data network, received a state contract that will make it easier for agencies to purchase its flood warning technology. 
Watch Duty, a fire-tracking app used by millions, expanded earlier this year to help monitor floods. 
Texas Gov. 
Greg Abbott said the lessons of 2025 led to a better emergency response this time. 
“Everybody in Texas has been far more prepared to deal with what has happened this year,” Abbott said during a news conference in Uvalde. 
“Lives have been saved.” 
___ Associated Press reporters Jamie Stengle in Dallas, Claudia Lauer in Philadelphia and Jesse Bedayn in Uvalde, Texas, contributed to this report. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 8.8%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 2.9%ABC News: 2.2%Confirmation Bias8.8%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.7%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 11.3%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 4.2%ABC News: 3.0%Availability Heuristic11.3%This article: 3.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 1.0%ABC News: 0.9%Representativeness Heuristic3.0%This article: 5.6%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 5.9%ABC News: 0.5%Hindsight Bias5.6%This article: 7.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 3.0%ABC News: 1.1%Overconfidence Bias7.0%This article: 1.2%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 1.3%ABC News: 6.8%Framing Effect1.2%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.5%ABC News: 0.3%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 4.3%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 3.3%ABC News: 0.4%Status Quo Bias4.3%This article: 1.4%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.5%ABC News: 0.1%Sunk Cost Effect1.4%This article: 11.8%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 7.4%ABC News: 2.4%Optimism Bias11.8%This article: 4.6%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 1.5%ABC News: 1.0%Pessimism Bias4.6%This article: 8.1%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 5.2%ABC News: 7.7%Negativity Bias8.1%This article: 2.9%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 3.2%ABC News: 1.5%Self-Serving Bias2.9%This article: 1.1%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 3.1%ABC News: 0.7%Fundamental Attribution Error1.1%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.8%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.4%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 5.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 1.7%ABC News: 2.2%Halo Effect5.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 2.8%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.9%ABC News: 1.3%Recency Bias2.8%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.4%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.5%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 23.1%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 7.7%ABC News: 3.3%Appeal to Authority23.1%This article: 1.1%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.4%ABC News: 0.9%False Dilemma1.1%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.3%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 8.1%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 4.6%ABC News: 2.8%Hasty Generalization8.1%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.4%Red Herring0.0%This article: 2.9%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 1.0%ABC News: 0.4%Bandwagon2.9%This article: 5.7%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 1.9%ABC News: 4.3%Appeal to Emotion5.7%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.7%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 11.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 3.7%ABC News: 2.1%Post Hoc (False Cause)11.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.2%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.1%ABC News: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.2%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 19.1%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 8.5%ABC News: 1.2%Anecdotal19.1%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 1.8%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.0%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 1.9%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 2.2%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.7%ABC News: 1.0%Quote-first Misdirection2.2%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 3.1%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.6%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.7%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 0.0%ABC News: 0.2%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 6.0%CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER Associated Press: 4.3%ABC News: 1.0%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…6.0%

1105 words analyzed.

Speakers

10speakers31%attributed speech758writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 3 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 41 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 63 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 17 words • 0.0% coverageNational Weather Service • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageSuzanne Sutphin Gschwind • 6 words • 100.0% coverageSuzanne Sutphin Gschwind • 14 words • 0.0% coverageSuzanne Sutphin Gschwind • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageSuzanne Sutphin Gschwind • 16 words • 0.0% coverageNational Weather Service • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 51 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 41 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageJaclyn Gonzales • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageKat Sprawls • 18 words • 100.0% coverageKat Sprawls • 1 words • 0.0% coverageKat Sprawls • 18 words • 0.0% coverageJessica Belmarez • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coveragePaul Bettencourt • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coveragePaul Bettencourt • 12 words • 0.0% coveragePaul Bettencourt • 10 words • 0.0% coverageTara Bushnoe • 18 words • 0.0% coverageTara Bushnoe • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 28 words • 0.0% coverageDanny Morales • 12 words • 0.0% coverageDanny Morales • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageIan Cunningham • 26 words • 100.0% coverageIan Cunningham • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageGreg Abbott • 29 words • 0.0% coverageGreg Abbott • 16 words • 0.0% coverageGreg Abbott • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Greg Abbott

100%flagged-word coverage
47 attributed words14% of attributed speech82% writer coverage
0%5.0%10.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -5.3 ptsWriter: 5.3%Greg Abbott: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.