Report: Michigan’s budget much bigger than ‘on paper,’ likely tops $86B 54%

By Jordyn Hermani51%

7/22/2026, 1:33:00 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 29 faulty reasoning types, including Negativity Bias, Middle Ground, and Appeal to Emotion, with Ambiguity (Equivocation) as the most egregious example at 20.6% saturation with 183 hits. Analysis detected 1,411 faulty-reasoning hits from 889 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 52.3% and a BS Rank of 54% (10,133 of 21,887 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 53.70% of the article peer group.

Gov. 
Gretchen Whitmer on Tuesday signed a new Michigan budget into law. 
A new analysis suggests the spending plan is out of balance, but officials say they have a deal in place to make it whole. 
(Courtesy of the Office of the Governor) 
Michigan’s new budget is actually $86 billion, despite claims it reduced spending, according to new analysis 
Citizens Research Council also identified a budget shortfall that the Whitmer administration says is already being plugged 
That deal involves draining remaining funds in the controversial SOAR state subsidy fund. 
LANSING  Michigan’s new state budget is larger than it appears, according to a new analysis that claims the spending plan signed by Gov. 
Gretchen Whitmer is also out of balance by at least $600 million. 
The nonpartisan Citizens Research Council of Michigan contends state lawmakers shifted large sums of money “with the apparent intent of making this year’s budget appear smaller than last year’s,” making it challenging to assess the true size. 
But the budget likely authorizes $86.4 billion in spending, not the $75.2 billion it adds up to “on paper.” 
That’s also larger than the $84 billion that Bridge Michigan initially reported . 
Much of that difference is attributable to about $9 billion in Medicaid provider taxes, which the state collects but was shifted from a line-item to “boilerplate” language in the state budget the past two years. 
The new budget also anticipates getting $418 million in federal school funding but would still allow the state to spend more than $2 billion, should it receive similar amounts of funding as last year, according to the report. 
Whitmer makes ‘science of reading’ training mandatory for Michigan teachers 
Whitmer signs education budget: What to know about college affordability 
But beyond that, the budget also appears to overspend expected revenues by between $600 million and $900 million, said Bob Schneider, a senior research associate for the council who previously worked as associate director for the Michigan House Fiscal Agency. 
And that would be a violation of the Michigan Constitution, which requires a balanced budget, so officials must take additional steps to balance it, Schneider told reporters Wednesday morning. 
“Our assumption is, there’s some kind of framework for addressing this (shortfall) in the budget  but the key is, we don’t know yet,” he said. 
And that seems to be the case, according to the Whitmer administration. 
A State Budget Office spokesperson told Bridge that officials have agreed to use uncommitted funding from the Strategic Outreach and Attraction Reserve (SOAR) fund, along with a COVID-19 contingency fund, to smooth out the budget. 
“Any implications that the budget is not balanced are simply false,” said the spokesperson, Cole Pachucki. 
He added: “Michigan law requires a balanced budget, and Governor Whitmer has signed a balanced budget every year of this administration  including this one.” 
That “framework” deal to balance the budget involves lapsing $449,200,199 from the SOAR Fund and $97,544,038 in COVID contingency funding from the Michigan State Police, Pachucki said. 
That’s a total of $546 million. 
“These lapses are not reflected in the enacted budget documents,” he added. 
“They’re accounting treatments applied administratively, not itemized appropriations.” 
House Speaker Matt Hall, R-Richland Township, seemed to confirm as much on social media Wednesday. 
As part of an agreement to pass the state budget, Hall said the state was “finally defunding and draining the governor’s ‘SOAR’ fund  We’re also taking money back from the COVID-19 slush fund that shouldn’t exist.” 
The move is expected to come by way of an administrative order. 
Schneider, who in his call with reporters identified lapsing SOAR as a way to address the shortfall, acknowledged that moving money from the fund “could be sufficient when added to other strategies like redirected State Fiscal Recovery Fund COVID dollars to close the gap.” 
“But the budget doesn’t provide any direction on that,” he added. 
“We hope policymakers will release additional financial details to show the assumptions and strategies being employed to ensure the budget is fully balanced.” 
Michigan lawmakers passed a compromise budget to fund the state government and schools for the next fiscal year on July 3 after a nearly 24-hour session. 
Republicans have championed it as a plan that reduces total state spending. 
“We made better use of the money state government already has so we could pass a balanced budget smaller than last year and give taxpayers better value for their dollars,” Hall said Wednesday on social media . 
But disagreements on the total value of the spending plan emerged almost immediately after lawmakers approved it, as media outlets like Bridge reported that lawmakers had again shifted more than $9 billion in Medicaid provider taxes. 
CRC identified additional shifts. 
Budgets aren’t always a perfect measure of the true size of government, but the large shifts in the new budget “create extra problems for anyone interested in monitoring the size of state government spending,” according to the CRC report. 
The group previously used historical budget totals to document the massive COVID-era spike in state spending, for instance, which is “important information for both the public and policymakers to understand.” 
That kind of comparison would be more difficult now. 
“We encourage the new governor and legislature seated in 2027 to stop this practice in future budgets,” the authors wrote. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 6.9%Jordyn Hermani: 3.5%Bridge: 3.0%Confirmation Bias6.9%This article: 3.5%Jordyn Hermani: 2.2%Bridge: 1.2%Anchoring Bias3.5%This article: 7.3%Jordyn Hermani: 2.6%Bridge: 3.0%Availability Heuristic7.3%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.3%Bridge: 0.7%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 1.3%Jordyn Hermani: 0.1%Bridge: 0.2%Hindsight Bias1.3%This article: 4.5%Jordyn Hermani: 0.8%Bridge: 1.2%Overconfidence Bias4.5%This article: 5.7%Jordyn Hermani: 5.4%Bridge: 6.8%Framing Effect5.7%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.3%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 5.1%Jordyn Hermani: 1.1%Bridge: 0.7%Status Quo Bias5.1%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.4%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 7.1%Jordyn Hermani: 2.7%Bridge: 2.3%Optimism Bias7.1%This article: 4.2%Jordyn Hermani: 2.0%Bridge: 1.6%Pessimism Bias4.2%This article: 11.2%Jordyn Hermani: 7.1%Bridge: 7.0%Negativity Bias11.2%This article: 7.3%Jordyn Hermani: 3.0%Bridge: 2.5%Self-Serving Bias7.3%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.4%Bridge: 1.0%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.3%Bridge: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 4.2%Jordyn Hermani: 2.5%Bridge: 1.6%In-Group Bias4.2%This article: 1.7%Jordyn Hermani: 0.7%Bridge: 0.3%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias1.7%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.2%Bridge: 1.9%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 5.5%Jordyn Hermani: 1.3%Bridge: 1.4%Recency Bias5.5%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.2%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.3%Bridge: 0.2%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 1.5%Jordyn Hermani: 0.3%Bridge: 0.9%Ad Hominem1.5%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.2%Bridge: 0.4%Straw Man0.0%This article: 6.1%Jordyn Hermani: 3.3%Bridge: 3.4%Appeal to Authority6.1%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.6%Bridge: 1.0%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 1.3%Jordyn Hermani: 0.8%Bridge: 1.2%Slippery Slope1.3%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 1.7%Jordyn Hermani: 3.1%Bridge: 4.1%Hasty Generalization1.7%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.5%Bridge: 0.7%Red Herring0.0%This article: 1.3%Jordyn Hermani: 0.1%Bridge: 0.9%Bandwagon1.3%This article: 8.3%Jordyn Hermani: 6.4%Bridge: 5.6%Appeal to Emotion8.3%This article: 1.8%Jordyn Hermani: 0.7%Bridge: 0.6%Begging the Question1.8%This article: 8.0%Jordyn Hermani: 1.2%Bridge: 1.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)8.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.3%Bridge: 0.2%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 7.1%Jordyn Hermani: 1.7%Bridge: 1.0%Burden of Proof7.1%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 3.4%Jordyn Hermani: 0.4%Bridge: 0.2%Composition/Division3.4%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.9%Bridge: 1.3%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 20.6%Jordyn Hermani: 2.6%Bridge: 1.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)20.6%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 9.2%Jordyn Hermani: 1.4%Bridge: 0.3%Middle Ground9.2%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.7%Bridge: 0.3%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 3.9%Jordyn Hermani: 0.7%Bridge: 0.9%Unattributed Quote3.9%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.7%Bridge: 1.0%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 4.2%Jordyn Hermani: 1.3%Bridge: 3.2%Biased Writer Voice4.2%This article: 4.8%Jordyn Hermani: 0.5%Bridge: 1.7%Indoctrination4.8%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.0%Bridge: 0.2%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.9%Bridge: 0.2%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Jordyn Hermani: 0.1%Bridge: 0.9%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

889 words analyzed.

Speakers

5speakers55%attributed speech396writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageGretchen Whitmer • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageCitizens Research Council of Michigan • 17 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageCitizens Research Council of Michigan • 37 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 35 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 38 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageBob Schneider • 40 words • 0.0% coverageBob Schneider • 29 words • 0.0% coverageBob Schneider • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 35 words • 100.0% coverageCole Pachucki • 16 words • 0.0% coverageCole Pachucki • 25 words • 0.0% coverageCole Pachucki • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageCole Pachucki • 12 words • 0.0% coverageCole Pachucki • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageMatt Hall • 37 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageBob Schneider • 44 words • 0.0% coverageBob Schneider • 11 words • 0.0% coverageBob Schneider • 23 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageMatt Hall • 37 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 36 words • 0.0% coverageCitizens Research Council of Michigan • 4 words • 0.0% coverageCitizens Research Council of Michigan • 39 words • 0.0% coverageCitizens Research Council of Michigan • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageCitizens Research Council of Michigan • 20 words • 100.0% coverage
Selected voice

Matt Hall

100%flagged-word coverage
74 attributed words15% of attributed speech83% writer coverage
0%5.0%10.0%Unattributed Quote-8.8 ptsWriter: 8.8%Matt Hall: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.