Fed's Goolsbee says rates ‘could come down’ if economy stays on ‘golden path’0%

By Kristen Altus94%

12/19/2025, 5:03:04 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 11 faulty reasoning types, including Framing Effect, Confirmation Bias, and Hasty Generalization, with Optimism Bias as the most egregious example at 49% saturation with 221 hits. Analysis detected 919 faulty-reasoning hits from 451 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 0% and a BS Rank of 0% (0 of 21,886 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 100.00% of the article peer group.

The door to more rate cuts could open further soon, according to a Federal Reserve Bank president, but only if economic indicators remain sustainable on their current trajectories. 
"There was a lot to like in this [consumer price index] report, for sure," Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said in an interview on "The Claman Countdown" Thursday. 
"If we keep getting reports like this  I realize it's just one month, and you never want to hinge too much on a single month  but that was a good month. 
And if we get clarity that we are, in fact, headed back to the 2% inflation target  we could back on that golden path." 
Rates could come down." 
Goolsbee praised November’s inflation data, noting that the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% over the two months from September to November and 2.7% year over year  a release that reflects a delayed reporting window tied to the recent government shutdown and does not include a standard one-month October-to-November change. 
Both figures came in below expectations of economists polled by LSEG, who projected a 0.3% monthly increase and a 3.1% year-over-year rise. 
Fed policymakers also recently announced the third interest rate cut of the year, voting to lower the benchmark federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a new range of 3.5% to 3.75%. 
The move follows rate cuts of that size in September and October, which were the first of 2025. 
Goolsbee had voted against the latest rate cut decision, Reuters reported. 
"If we get stabilized, full employment and we're on path to 2% [inflation], I would be comfortable with rates being a fair bit below where they are today." 
I just am uncomfortable front-loading the rate cuts before we're sure that we're actually back headed to 2%," Goolsbee explained Thursday. 
When asked about concerns regarding the U.S. job market and the unemployment rate reaching its highest level since September 2021, the Fed president addressed how the central bank might balance inflation and labor-market challenges. 
"There's not an obvious playbook of what you do." 
I think that most measures of the job market, other than payroll employment  those have shown pretty steady, cooling mildly, but fairly steady," Goolsbee said. 
"And that's why I say, if I get more assurance like what's in the CPI  I believe rates can go down a fair bit from where they are now," he reiterated, "as long as we know we're on the path back to 2% and that what we've seen these blip ups in inflation are not stallouts, they're not going the wrong way, they are going to truly prove to be transitory." 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.3%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 4.9%Kristen Altus: 3.9%FoxBusiness: 3.4%Anchoring Bias4.9%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 6.1%FoxBusiness: 4.1%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.3%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 34.1%Kristen Altus: 7.7%FoxBusiness: 4.4%Confirmation Bias34.1%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 39.0%Kristen Altus: 17.1%FoxBusiness: 12.9%Framing Effect39.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 1.1%FoxBusiness: 0.9%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 4.2%FoxBusiness: 3.8%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.8%FoxBusiness: 0.7%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.3%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 2.9%FoxBusiness: 1.7%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 4.7%Kristen Altus: 2.2%FoxBusiness: 1.5%Loss Aversion4.7%This article: 7.5%Kristen Altus: 9.3%FoxBusiness: 7.9%Negativity Bias7.5%This article: 49.0%Kristen Altus: 12.6%FoxBusiness: 8.8%Optimism Bias49.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 1.1%FoxBusiness: 0.8%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 5.1%FoxBusiness: 3.7%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 4.7%Kristen Altus: 2.9%FoxBusiness: 2.0%Pessimism Bias4.7%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.4%FoxBusiness: 0.4%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 14.9%Kristen Altus: 2.4%FoxBusiness: 2.3%Recency Bias14.9%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 1.5%FoxBusiness: 1.1%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 6.4%FoxBusiness: 4.5%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 1.4%FoxBusiness: 1.1%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.3%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 1.0%FoxBusiness: 0.8%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 2.4%FoxBusiness: 1.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 5.9%FoxBusiness: 2.4%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 8.1%FoxBusiness: 7.2%Appeal to Authority0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 8.3%FoxBusiness: 6.1%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.3%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 2.3%FoxBusiness: 1.2%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 16.0%Kristen Altus: 2.0%FoxBusiness: 1.2%Begging the Question16.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.7%FoxBusiness: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.2%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.6%FoxBusiness: 0.3%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 2.9%FoxBusiness: 1.6%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.0%FoxBusiness: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.5%FoxBusiness: 0.2%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 23.3%Kristen Altus: 12.3%FoxBusiness: 6.3%Hasty Generalization23.3%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.2%FoxBusiness: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.1%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 5.5%FoxBusiness: 4.4%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.8%FoxBusiness: 0.8%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 2.2%FoxBusiness: 1.2%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 5.8%Kristen Altus: 0.7%FoxBusiness: 0.3%Special Pleading5.8%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 1.1%FoxBusiness: 0.4%Straw Man0.0%This article: 0.0%Kristen Altus: 0.3%FoxBusiness: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%

451 words analyzed.

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