Donald Trump’s cargo toll plan in Strait of Hormuz would have been unprecedented, and likely illegal 20%

By Louis Jacobson16%

7/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 21 faulty reasoning types, including Biased Writer Voice, Negativity Bias, and Confirmation Bias, with Appeal to Authority as the most egregious example at 32.4% saturation with 290 hits. Analysis detected 1,512 faulty-reasoning hits from 894 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 34.4% and a BS Rank of 20% (17,582 of 21,886 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 80.30% of the article peer group.

With Iran still seeking to control the Strait of Hormuz, President Donald Trump spent 24 hours promoting a plan for the United States to control the vital international waterway  and for cargo ships to pay the U.S. tolls to pass through it. 
"The U.S.A. will be, from this point forward, known as 'THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT,' but as such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped, for any and all costs necessary to do the job of providing safety and security to this very volatile section of the World. 
The process and formation will begin immediately," Trump wrote in a July 13 Truth Social post. 
Trump reiterated the plan to become "guardian of the strait" in a Fox News interview, and he said later that day that the U.S. would be "reimbursed for protection" in the strait. 
Within a day, however, he reversed course, citing conversations with Gulf region allies who he said would offer investment and trade deals instead. 
The notion of allies having to pay for U.S. for military protection is a familiar theme for Trump. 
The second fact-check of Trump that PolitiFact ever published  in 2011  examined his assertion that South Korea didn’t pay the U.S. for its military protection. 
(We rated that False.) 
Trump has also falsely said Kuwait never paid the U.S. for reversing Saddam Hussein’s 1990 invasion of their country, and he has repeatedly sought to have U.S. allies in NATO pay more for their own defense. 
But military and legal experts say his now-dormant proposal to set up a U.S.-run tolling system in the Strait of Hormuz would have flown in the face of centuries of practice and international law that ensures the free transit of ships on international waters. 
The U.S. even went to war against the Barbary pirates in the early 1800s to ensure that the Mediterranean fiefdoms would no longer be able to require ships to pay tribute for free passage  an episode memorialized in the U.S. 
Marine Hymn. 
"President Trump’s policy, if enforced, would constitute a massive departure from past U.S. policy, international practice and would be inconsistent with both the Law of the Sea Convention and customary international law," said Gunther Handl, a Tulane University law professor. 
Such a policy also would also have been inconsistent with a statement by Trump’s own secretary of state, Marco Rubio, who said in June, "No country is allowed to charge tolls or fees on an international waterway. 
That’s existing international law. 
That’s the way it is in international waterways all over the world, and that’s the way we expect it’ll be here." 
The White House did not respond to an inquiry for this article. 
Is there legal precedent for charging tolls? 
Military and legal experts agreed there’s no precedent for a policy as sweeping as the one Trump advocated. 
"It is one thing to escort ships, your own, or those of other nations in troubled waters," said Frederick C. 
Leiner, author of "The End of Barbary Terror." 
"But I’ve never heard of making what is essentially a charge of insurance for that protection." 
Charging any fee for transiting the Strait of Hormuz "would be a clear violation of the 1982 Convention on the Law of the Sea," said Anthony Clark Arend, a Georgetown University professor who specializes in international law. 
"Even though the United States is not a party to the convention, it regards provisions on transit passage as binding customary international law," Arend said. 
"The United States and the Soviet Union worked collectively during the negotiations for the convention to ensure that it established the right of transit passage for all vessels and aircraft." 
Mark F. 
Cancian, a retired Marine colonel and a Center for Strategic and International Studies senior adviser, called Trump’s plan "both illegal and unenforceable," because the U.S. has no authority to impose such a fee. 
Cancian said it’s also unenforceable without taking military action against shipping. 
While some countries bordering shipping lanes in international waters take a role in managing those areas for reasons such as reducing pollution, those responsibilities don’t make those areas territorial waters or allow tolling or user fees, said Mark Meirowitz, a political scientist at the State University of New York’s Maritime College. 
The U.S. doesn’t geographically adjoin the Strait of Hormuz, which would further weaken any claim to demanding tolls, he said. 
Practical challenges to tolls 
Charging tolls would involve a host of obstacles and risks. 
Perhaps the biggest practical challenge would be the U.S. need to keep Iran  a country it’s at war with  from charging its own tolls instead. 
That would require a major, long-term military commitment, likely including U.S. troops on Iranian soil and frequent use of force on land, sea and air. 
"Iran might acquiesce in the U.S. controlling the strait, but only following its decisive military defeat, which is very unlikely," Handl said. 
Another big challenge is that the new precedent could backfire on the U.S.. 
"It would set a dangerous precedent for other states that border on international straits," Arend said. 
"They, too, could now wish to impose such fees. 
Needless to say, this would dramatically increase the costs of goods delivered by sea." 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 9.4%Louis Jacobson: 2.7%@politifact: 2.0%Confirmation Bias9.4%This article: 3.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.5%@politifact: 0.6%Anchoring Bias3.0%This article: 7.4%Louis Jacobson: 2.8%@politifact: 2.5%Availability Heuristic7.4%This article: 4.4%Louis Jacobson: 0.8%@politifact: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic4.4%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.4%@politifact: 0.5%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 1.6%@politifact: 1.3%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 5.6%Louis Jacobson: 5.2%@politifact: 3.5%Framing Effect5.6%This article: 2.2%Louis Jacobson: 0.4%@politifact: 0.3%Loss Aversion2.2%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.1%@politifact: 0.2%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.0%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.6%@politifact: 0.8%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 9.4%Louis Jacobson: 0.9%@politifact: 1.1%Pessimism Bias9.4%This article: 16.0%Louis Jacobson: 5.9%@politifact: 5.1%Negativity Bias16.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.9%@politifact: 0.6%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.5%@politifact: 0.4%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 1.4%@politifact: 0.5%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.9%@politifact: 0.4%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.6%@politifact: 0.8%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 2.6%Louis Jacobson: 1.1%@politifact: 1.1%Recency Bias2.6%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.4%@politifact: 0.2%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 4.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.9%@politifact: 0.4%Ad Hominem4.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.5%@politifact: 0.2%Straw Man0.0%This article: 32.4%Louis Jacobson: 4.0%@politifact: 4.7%Appeal to Authority32.4%This article: 2.5%Louis Jacobson: 1.0%@politifact: 0.8%False Dilemma2.5%This article: 9.1%Louis Jacobson: 0.7%@politifact: 0.6%Slippery Slope9.1%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.1%@politifact: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 5.4%Louis Jacobson: 4.8%@politifact: 3.0%Hasty Generalization5.4%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.3%@politifact: 0.2%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.1%@politifact: 0.6%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 8.5%Louis Jacobson: 3.0%@politifact: 2.4%Appeal to Emotion8.5%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.9%@politifact: 0.5%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 6.2%Louis Jacobson: 0.8%@politifact: 1.7%Post Hoc (False Cause)6.2%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.2%@politifact: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.8%Louis Jacobson: 1.0%@politifact: 0.6%Burden of Proof0.8%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.3%@politifact: 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 1.8%Louis Jacobson: 1.4%@politifact: 1.0%Anecdotal1.8%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.3%@politifact: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 2.0%@politifact: 2.0%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.2%@politifact: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.0%@politifact: 0.0%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.1%@politifact: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 6.7%Louis Jacobson: 2.6%@politifact: 1.7%Unattributed Quote6.7%This article: 6.7%Louis Jacobson: 2.9%@politifact: 1.7%Quote-first Misdirection6.7%This article: 25.2%Louis Jacobson: 2.7%@politifact: 1.6%Biased Writer Voice25.2%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.8%@politifact: 1.0%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.5%@politifact: 0.2%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.4%@politifact: 0.4%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Louis Jacobson: 0.4%@politifact: 0.4%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

894 words analyzed.

Speakers

8speakers50%attributed speech446writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 16 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 43 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 60 words • 100.0% coverageDonald Trump • 16 words • 0.0% coverageDonald Trump • 32 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 36 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 44 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 41 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageGunther Handl • 40 words • 0.0% coverageMarco Rubio • 37 words • 0.0% coverageMarco Rubio • 4 words • 0.0% coverageMarco Rubio • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageFrederick C. • 20 words • 0.0% coverageFrederick C. Leiner • 8 words • 0.0% coverageFrederick C. Leiner • 16 words • 0.0% coverageAnthony Clark Arend • 37 words • 0.0% coverageAnthony Clark Arend • 25 words • 0.0% coverageAnthony Clark Arend • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageMark F. Cancian • 33 words • 0.0% coverageMark F. Cancian • 11 words • 0.0% coverageMark Meirowitz • 51 words • 0.0% coverageMark Meirowitz • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageGunther Handl • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageAnthony Clark Arend • 16 words • 0.0% coverageAnthony Clark Arend • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverage
Selected voice

Frederick C. Leiner

100%flagged-word coverage
24 attributed words5.4% of attributed speech96% writer coverage
0%27.5%55.0%Biased Writer Voice-50.4 ptsWriter: 50.4%Frederick C. Leiner: 0.0%0.0%Unattributed Quote-13.5 ptsWriter: 13.5%Frederick C. Leiner: 0.0%0.0%Quote-first Misdirection-13.5 ptsWriter: 13.5%Frederick C. Leiner: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.