Forbes45%

Northern Lights Forecast: Aurora Could Be Visible In These 8 States Sunday 24%

By Zachary Folk34%

7/5/2026, 9:40:28 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 13 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Ambiguity (Equivocation), and Framing Effect, with Indoctrination as the most egregious example at 37.2% saturation with 116 hits. Analysis detected 615 faulty-reasoning hits from 312 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 36.7% and a BS Rank of 24% (16,250 of 21,230 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 76.50% of the article peer group.

NOAA is predicting space weather that could impact the northern lights. 
Coronal holes are large, relatively cooler regions of the Sun that appear as dark spaces in solar photography, according to NOAA. 
These regions are less dense and have unipolar magnetic fields, which allow very fast streams of solar winds to escape into space. 
When these solar winds interact with the Earth’s magnetic field, they can cause geomagnetic storms. 
The storms predicted for Sunday are only “minor,” but even these have the added effect of causing the aurora to appear visible from parts of the continental United States. 
The aurora has a “low likelihood” of visibility in states along the U.S.-Canadian border for Sunday, including the very northern parts of Washington, Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan’s Upper Peninsula. 
Most of Alaska could also see the northern lights, with a large portion of the state falling in the “high likelihood” region of NOAA’s aurora forecast map. 
Experts recommend viewers travel as far north as possible before trying to catch the lights. 
Viewers should position themselves on a vantage point away from sources of light pollution with a clear view of the sky facing north. 
They should also try to time their trips to the hours wehn the aurora is most active—typically between 10 p.m. and 2 a.m. 
Photographers who spoke to National Geographic said smartphone cameras can take quality photos of the aurora, given users are working with the right settings and equipment. 
Prospective photographers should remember to bring a tripod and remote timer, as all cameras need to sit still for long periods of time in order to gather enough light to capture photos of the dark sky. 
Smartphone users should also remember to shoot in RAW image format in night mode with their flash turned off. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 5.7%Forbes: 3.2%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 1.0%Forbes: 1.2%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 1.4%Forbes: 3.0%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 1.1%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.7%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 12.2%Zachary Folk: 3.3%Forbes: 2.4%Overconfidence Bias12.2%This article: 23.1%Zachary Folk: 10.1%Forbes: 5.9%Framing Effect23.1%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.4%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 7.4%Zachary Folk: 0.7%Forbes: 0.6%Status Quo Bias7.4%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 9.3%Zachary Folk: 3.2%Forbes: 3.8%Optimism Bias9.3%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 1.4%Pessimism Bias0.0%This article: 9.3%Zachary Folk: 12.3%Forbes: 5.6%Negativity Bias9.3%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.9%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.6%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.6%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 8.3%Zachary Folk: 0.8%Forbes: 2.9%Halo Effect8.3%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 5.1%Forbes: 1.6%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.3%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 32.1%Zachary Folk: 8.1%Forbes: 4.5%Appeal to Authority32.1%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 1.6%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.5%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 2.8%Forbes: 5.7%Hasty Generalization0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 4.8%Zachary Folk: 0.4%Forbes: 0.7%Bandwagon4.8%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 3.2%Forbes: 3.7%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 1.0%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 3.6%Forbes: 2.9%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.3%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.4%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.3%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 8.3%Zachary Folk: 0.8%Forbes: 1.9%Anecdotal8.3%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 28.5%Zachary Folk: 3.5%Forbes: 1.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)28.5%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 13.1%Zachary Folk: 2.5%Forbes: 1.2%Unattributed Quote13.1%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 1.3%Forbes: 0.9%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 3.5%Zachary Folk: 1.9%Forbes: 4.5%Biased Writer Voice3.5%This article: 37.2%Zachary Folk: 6.9%Forbes: 2.6%Indoctrination37.2%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.4%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.0%Forbes: 0.2%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Zachary Folk: 0.5%Forbes: 4.4%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

312 words analyzed.

Speakers

1speaker8.3%attributed speech286writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 100.0% coverageNational Geographic • 26 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 36 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 100.0% coverage
Selected voice

National Geographic

100%flagged-word coverage
26 attributed words100% of attributed speech87% writer coverage
0%50.0%100.0%Unattributed Quote+94.8 ptsWriter: 5.2%National Geographic: 100.0%100.0%Indoctrination-40.6 ptsWriter: 40.6%National Geographic: 0.0%0.0%Biased Writer Voice-3.8 ptsWriter: 3.8%National Geographic: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.