Japan issues rare special advisory over chance of more powerful quake 37%

By Kanako Takahara0% Yukana Inoue0% Jesse Johnson75% Eric Johnston50%

4/20/2026, 9:28:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 17 faulty reasoning types, including Availability Heuristic, Appeal to Authority, and Representativeness Heuristic, with Indoctrination as the most egregious example at 19.5% saturation with 195 hits. Analysis detected 1,131 faulty-reasoning hits from 998 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 43.7% and a BS Rank of 37% (13,780 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 63.00% of the article peer group.

Authorities have warned residents of northeastern Japan to prepare for an even larger earthquake after a magnitude 7.7 quake struck off the coast of Iwate on Monday, triggering tsunami across a broad swath of the area. 
Residents in areas where a special advisory has been issued  for 182 municipalities from Hokkaido to Chiba Prefecture  should be on alert and ready to evacuate at any moment, officials from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and Cabinet Office told a joint news conference Monday evening. 
Residents have been urged to reconfirm their evacuation plans, including escape routes and ways of communicating with family. 
The JMA has had a system in place since 2022 where, if a magnitude 7-level earthquake strikes off the coast of Iwate and Hokkaido, it will consider issuing an alert for a potentially stronger quake  called a “subsequent quake advisory”  given similar instances in the past. 
Although the possibility of massive earthquakes of magnitude 8 or stronger striking is higher than usual, the odds are still around 1%, compared with 0.1% in regular times, the JMA said. 
If a major quake was to occur, a subsequent tsunami would be expected as well. 
Smaller quakes hitting the region are also possible. 
A special advisory was last announced in December, following a magnitude 7.5 earthquake off Aomori Prefecture’s eastern coast. 
The current advisory will remain in place until Apr. 27 at 5 p.m. 
Monday’s quake, which struck at a depth of 20 kilometers about 100 km off the coast of Iwate Prefecture at 4:53 p.m., registered a lower 5 on the Japanese seismic scale to 7 in some parts of Aomori, Iwate and Miyagi prefectures, according to the JMA. 
Tokyo and its vicinity  where buildings swayed for several minutes  registered a 3 on the Japanese scale. 
A man in his 60s in the city of Hachinohe, Aomori Prefecture, was injured after falling down a staircase, according to NHK. 
No other injuries had been reported as of 9 p.m. 
The quake triggered an 80-centimeter tsunami at Kuji Port in Iwate Prefecture, while Miyako Port, also in Iwate, saw a 40-cm tsunami. 
Waves were also forecast to arrive at other locations across a wide swath of the prefecture’s coast. 
In Hokkaido, the town of Urakawa observed 40-cm tsunami. 
At Aomori’s Hachinohe Port, a 30-cm tsunami was recorded, while the towns of Erimo and Ayukawa Port in Miyagi Prefecture saw 20-cm tsunami. 
Some JR Hokkaido trains in the affected areas were canceled, but trains were running normally in the Sapporo area, including between Sapporo and New Chitose Airport. 
Across Hokkaido and Iwate, Aomori, Miyagi and Fukushima prefectures, evacuation orders were issued to nearly 172,000 people, NHK reported, citing the internal affairs ministry. 
The quake initially triggered a tsunami warning, under which waves are forecast to reach up to 3 meters. 
The alert was downgraded to an advisory later in the evening, with the maximum forecast wave heights lowered to 1 meter. 
The quake and ensuing tsunami alert prompted anchors on TV news programs to urge residents to move to higher ground, away from rivers and coastlines, calling on people to “remember the 3/11 disaster.” 
“Tsunami! 
Evacuate!” 
flashed on NHK in English. 
“Don’t turn back.” 
The alerts and warnings were a stark reminder of the March 11, 2011, Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami that struck the area, leaving nearly 20,000 people dead and forcing some 125,000 people to evacuate. 
Earlier, JMA officials emphasized at a news conference that the region  which has experienced repeated earthquakes over short periods in the past  should be on alert for more strong quakes over the next week, especially the next two to three days. 
Following a 6.9 magnitude earthquake that also occurred off the Sanriku coast in 2015, a 6.5 magnitude quake struck three days later and another 6.4 magnitude quake hit after five days. 
Secondary impacts, such as landslides, were also a concern for the coming days, with rain forecast for Tuesday in Hokkaido and Aomori. 
Monday’s quake came after a large temblor hit the Sanriku coast last November. 
However, since the epicenter of the most recent earthquake was further to the north, it is not believed to have been directly influenced by it, JMA officials said. 
Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara, the government’s top spokesman, told a news conference Monday evening that the government had set up a crisis management center.. 
“We are making every effort to assess the situation and carry out emergency disaster response measures, including search-and-rescue operations,” he said, adding that power outages were reported at around 100 households in Aomori Prefecture so far. 
Speaking to reporters in Tokyo, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi urged residents to continue their everyday activities, but maintain a readiness to evacuate at a moment’s notice. 
“It is particularly important in coastal areas to evacuate immediately if you feel tremors or if a tsunami warning is issued,” she said. 
A Maritime Self-Defense Force SH-60K helicopter was flying over the Sanriku coast of the Tohoku region to gather information and conduct a damage assessment, the MSDF said. 
The Tohoku Shinkansen line resumed operation between Tokyo and Hachinohe stations after operations were suspended between Tokyo and Shin-Aomori stations. 
Operations were still suspended between Hachinohe and Shin-Aomori stations in Aomori. 
The Akita Shinkansen line also resumed operations after initial suspensions, according to the operator. 
No abnormalities were reported at the crippled Fukushima No. 1 and No. 2 nuclear power plants in Fukushima Prefecture or the Onagawa nuclear power plant in Miyagi Prefecture, operator Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings said. 
The JMA also said it observed a level 3 of what’s called long-period ground motion  or seismic waves of different durations that last for a long time  in Akita Prefecture. 
Level 3 is defined as shaking that makes it hard for people to remain standing, and one that makes rolling furniture move uncontrollably, while furniture that is unsecured may topple over. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.4%The Japan Times: 3.5%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 2.1%Kanako Takahara: 0.7%The Japan Times: 1.9%Anchoring Bias2.1%This article: 17.3%Kanako Takahara: 7.7%The Japan Times: 4.7%Availability Heuristic17.3%This article: 9.1%Kanako Takahara: 1.7%The Japan Times: 1.3%Representativeness Heuristic9.1%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.6%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.8%The Japan Times: 2.0%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 4.8%Kanako Takahara: 10.6%The Japan Times: 14.4%Framing Effect4.8%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 1.0%The Japan Times: 0.9%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 1.5%The Japan Times: 1.3%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 1.5%Kanako Takahara: 1.7%The Japan Times: 4.7%Optimism Bias1.5%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 2.1%The Japan Times: 3.3%Pessimism Bias0.0%This article: 4.8%Kanako Takahara: 9.9%The Japan Times: 11.6%Negativity Bias4.8%This article: 3.6%Kanako Takahara: 0.8%The Japan Times: 0.8%Self-Serving Bias3.6%This article: 2.8%Kanako Takahara: 0.4%The Japan Times: 0.8%Fundamental Attribution Error2.8%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 3.3%The Japan Times: 1.0%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.8%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 3.5%Kanako Takahara: 2.0%The Japan Times: 1.5%Halo Effect3.5%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 7.4%Kanako Takahara: 1.9%The Japan Times: 2.2%Recency Bias7.4%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.7%The Japan Times: 0.9%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.2%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 14.6%Kanako Takahara: 4.2%The Japan Times: 5.5%Appeal to Authority14.6%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 2.1%The Japan Times: 1.7%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.7%The Japan Times: 1.0%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 3.1%Kanako Takahara: 2.4%The Japan Times: 4.5%Hasty Generalization3.1%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.3%Red Herring0.0%This article: 3.3%Kanako Takahara: 1.2%The Japan Times: 0.6%Bandwagon3.3%This article: 6.8%Kanako Takahara: 3.3%The Japan Times: 3.6%Appeal to Emotion6.8%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.4%The Japan Times: 0.9%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 8.7%Kanako Takahara: 1.9%The Japan Times: 4.2%Post Hoc (False Cause)8.7%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.8%The Japan Times: 0.5%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.1%The Japan Times: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 2.1%The Japan Times: 1.1%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 2.4%The Japan Times: 3.0%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.2%The Japan Times: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.0%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 1.6%The Japan Times: 4.6%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.2%Kanako Takahara: 0.8%The Japan Times: 1.8%Quote-first Misdirection0.2%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 7.1%The Japan Times: 9.0%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 19.5%Kanako Takahara: 4.8%The Japan Times: 1.6%Indoctrination19.5%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.6%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.0%The Japan Times: 0.2%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Kanako Takahara: 0.4%The Japan Times: 0.5%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

998 words analyzed.

Speakers

6speakers52%attributed speech480writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 36 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 48 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 100.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 48 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 46 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 19 words • 0.0% coverageNHK • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 17 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageNHK • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 100.0% coverageNHK • 5 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 3 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 35 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 43 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 28 words • 0.0% coverageMinoru Kihara • 25 words • 0.0% coverageMinoru Kihara • 36 words • 0.0% coverageSanae Takaichi • 26 words • 100.0% coverageSanae Takaichi • 23 words • 100.0% coverageMaritime Self-Defense Force • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageTokyo Electric Power Company Holdings • 35 words • 0.0% coverageJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) • 32 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverage
100%flagged-word coverage
35 attributed words6.8% of attributed speech51% writer coverage
0%7.5%15.0%Indoctrination-11.5 ptsWriter: 11.5%Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings: 0.0%0.0%Quote-first Misdirection-0.4 ptsWriter: 0.4%Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.