Is today the hottest day of the summer? The ‘Old Farmer’s Almanac’ has 30 years of data for an answer. 29%

By Andrew Paul22%

7/22/2026, 10:01:00 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 18 faulty reasoning types, including Ambiguity (Equivocation), Representativeness Heuristic, and Overconfidence Bias, with Hasty Generalization as the most egregious example at 22.6% saturation with 81 hits. Analysis detected 584 faulty-reasoning hits from 358 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 39.3% and a BS Rank of 29% (15,651 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 71.50% of the article peer group.

It’s already been a brutal summer by pretty much any metric, with record-breaking temperatures affecting millions of people across the United States and parts of Europe. 
Although predicting the forecast for any given week is becoming increasingly difficult due to climate change , historical data can still point us in the right direction. 
Barring all the chaos, when can someone expect to endure the season’s most sweltering conditions? 
The Old Farmer’s Almanac recently delved into nearly 30 years of meteorological data to determine the country’s hottest day of the year—and the answers may vary more than you might expect. 
July predictably contains peak temperatures for most of the U.S., but certainly not all of it. 
“Many regions in the United States—from the Rockies to the East Coast—follow this pattern,” they explained. 
“However, this isn’t true for all regions.” 
The hottest day of the year could occur anytime between June and October, depending on where you live in the United States. 
Credit: NOAA 
Northern areas of the country typically hit their top temperatures between mid-July and mid-August. 
Much of the western states experience their hottest days during early August. 
Most of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Oklahoma are likely staring down even more intense heat in the weeks to come, possibly towards the end of August. 
There are some notable exceptions to these temperature trends. 
While most of the U.S. begins feeling some relief from the summer heat come August, ocean waters typically continue warming well into September. 
The majority of the West Coast and southern Alaska also see cooler Pacific air roll over the warmer land, creating a thick fog that can lower summer month temperatures. 
Anyone living there shouldn’t expect peak heat until September or even October. 
The same is true for most of Hawaii and Puerto Rico, as well. 
The bottomline? 
Keep hanging in there, and keep hydrated. 
The post Is today the hottest day of the summer? 
The ‘Old Farmer’s Almanac’ has 30 years of data for an answer. appeared first on Popular Science . 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 2.5%Popular Science: 2.2%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 7.3%Andrew Paul: 1.4%Popular Science: 0.8%Anchoring Bias7.3%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 3.0%Popular Science: 2.7%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 14.2%Andrew Paul: 1.1%Popular Science: 1.2%Representativeness Heuristic14.2%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.7%Popular Science: 0.5%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 12.0%Andrew Paul: 3.2%Popular Science: 2.9%Overconfidence Bias12.0%This article: 4.2%Andrew Paul: 4.4%Popular Science: 3.5%Framing Effect4.2%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.4%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.7%Popular Science: 0.7%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.1%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 7.5%Andrew Paul: 6.7%Popular Science: 4.6%Optimism Bias7.5%This article: 7.5%Andrew Paul: 0.7%Popular Science: 0.7%Pessimism Bias7.5%This article: 7.3%Andrew Paul: 4.3%Popular Science: 3.0%Negativity Bias7.3%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.6%Popular Science: 0.7%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.1%Popular Science: 0.3%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.1%Popular Science: 0.0%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.4%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 1.6%Popular Science: 2.1%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 7.5%Andrew Paul: 1.7%Popular Science: 0.9%Recency Bias7.5%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.3%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.1%Popular Science: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.1%Popular Science: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 12.0%Andrew Paul: 5.5%Popular Science: 4.2%Appeal to Authority12.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 1.2%Popular Science: 0.8%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.5%Popular Science: 0.3%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 8.1%Andrew Paul: 0.1%Popular Science: 0.1%Circular Reasoning8.1%This article: 22.6%Andrew Paul: 5.0%Popular Science: 4.1%Hasty Generalization22.6%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.1%Popular Science: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.5%Popular Science: 0.6%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 7.5%Andrew Paul: 3.4%Popular Science: 2.9%Appeal to Emotion7.5%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.9%Popular Science: 0.6%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 6.4%Andrew Paul: 2.4%Popular Science: 2.2%Post Hoc (False Cause)6.4%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.6%Popular Science: 0.5%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.4%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.4%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 1.9%Popular Science: 2.2%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 4.5%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%No True Scotsman4.5%This article: 21.5%Andrew Paul: 2.2%Popular Science: 2.0%Ambiguity (Equivocation)21.5%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.3%Popular Science: 0.2%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.2%Popular Science: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 6.4%Andrew Paul: 2.3%Popular Science: 1.5%Unattributed Quote6.4%This article: 4.5%Andrew Paul: 1.0%Popular Science: 0.8%Quote-first Misdirection4.5%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 5.0%Popular Science: 3.8%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 2.0%Andrew Paul: 1.4%Popular Science: 1.3%Indoctrination2.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.0%Popular Science: 0.0%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Andrew Paul: 0.9%Popular Science: 2.8%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

358 words analyzed.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.