Inverse⁠55%

What Happened To Ser Luthor? 'House Of The Dragon's Controversial Murder Plot, Explained ⁠40%

By Dais Johnston⁠61%

7/19/2026, 7:00:25 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 23 faulty reasoning types, including Hasty Generalization, Availability Heuristic, and Post Hoc (False Cause), with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 19.5% saturation with 96 hits. Analysis detected 799 faulty-reasoning hits from 492 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 45.1% and a BS Rank of ⁠40% (13,200 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 60.30% of the article peer group.

There are more players than ever in this season of House of the Dragon , as the Dance of Dragons heats up and embroils all the major houses of the realm. 
All kinds of lords and knights are involved in the conflict by Season 3, making big strategic moves and taking on entire battles by themselves. 
It can be difficult enough to keep all the Targaryens straight, let alone the many non-silver-haired characters. 
But in Season 3, Episode 5, one man takes the spotlight: Ser Luthor Largent, the head of the City Watch. 
And by the end of the episode, his fate marks one of the biggest changes from book canon so far. 
Spoilers for House of the Dragon Season 3 Episode 5 ahead. 
Daeron has always treated the City Watch as his pet project. 
| HBO Throughout Episode 5, Daemon is preoccupied with the villainous force that’s murdering members of the City Watch. 
His first thought is that it has something to do with Alicent and the Greens, but he’s only half-right. 
When the watch finally catches someone, Daemon tortures the information out of him: he’s doing this for the King, but not for Aegon. 
Hidden in his boot is a gold coin that matches the one we saw Ormund Hightower give to young Daeron Targaryen, which features Daeron’s likeness. 
This means the threat is much bigger than Daemon realized. 
Ormund Hightower is going directly for King’s Landing, and he’s hitting Daemon where it hurts the most. 
Daemon commanded the City Watch for years, and the guards remained loyal to his cause even while Aegon was on the throne. 
And just as Daemon’s piecing the plot together, he’s shown a gruesome display that wouldn’t be out of place in Hannibal : a table set with disemboweled City Watch members, complete with Ser Luthor in the middle. 
This campaign was always personal, but Ser Luthor was one of Daemon’s closest allies, and he played a key role in helping the Blacks take the throne. 
Ormund’s scheme to get Daeron on the throne starts with a series of brutal murders. 
| HBO In Fire & Blood , Ser Luthor has a different fate. 
Since Ormund doesn’t unleash this underhanded scheme, Luthor ends up perishing in the Riots of King’s Landing, which unfold after the commonfolk’s resentment of Rhaenyra reaches a boiling point. 
While the City Watch’s role may have changed, it’s likely the riots are still going to happen, especially given talk of food shortages and Rhaenyra’s less-than-merciful response to the graffiti Ulf White saw in Flea Bottom. 
So if Ser Luthor can’t meet his demise in those riots, who will? 
It’s a rare moment when the source material doesn’t give us anything to go off of, but with only three episodes left in the season, we’re bound to find out soon. 
House of the Dragon streams on HBO Max. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 3.9%Dais Johnston: 4.4%Inverse: 4.0%Confirmation Bias3.9%This article: 2.2%Dais Johnston: 0.6%Inverse: 0.8%Anchoring Bias2.2%This article: 17.1%Dais Johnston: 3.6%Inverse: 3.6%Availability Heuristic17.1%This article: 4.5%Dais Johnston: 1.4%Inverse: 1.5%Representativeness Heuristic4.5%This article: 2.0%Dais Johnston: 2.5%Inverse: 2.3%Hindsight Bias2.0%This article: 4.1%Dais Johnston: 3.6%Inverse: 2.8%Overconfidence Bias4.1%This article: 3.7%Dais Johnston: 5.1%Inverse: 4.7%Framing Effect3.7%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.7%Inverse: 0.6%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.6%Inverse: 0.7%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.3%Inverse: 0.5%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 6.3%Dais Johnston: 5.9%Inverse: 3.8%Optimism Bias6.3%This article: 10.8%Dais Johnston: 1.9%Inverse: 2.1%Pessimism Bias10.8%This article: 19.5%Dais Johnston: 6.5%Inverse: 8.7%Negativity Bias19.5%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.2%Inverse: 0.6%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 3.9%Dais Johnston: 0.9%Inverse: 1.1%Fundamental Attribution Error3.9%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.0%Inverse: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.2%Inverse: 0.8%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 5.5%Dais Johnston: 6.0%Inverse: 5.4%Halo Effect5.5%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.7%Inverse: 0.2%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.0%Inverse: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 2.2%Inverse: 1.9%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 4.1%Dais Johnston: 1.0%Inverse: 0.8%Primacy Effect4.1%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.6%Inverse: 0.4%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.2%Straw Man0.0%This article: 4.1%Dais Johnston: 4.6%Inverse: 2.7%Appeal to Authority4.1%This article: 2.6%Dais Johnston: 2.2%Inverse: 2.1%False Dilemma2.6%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.3%Inverse: 0.6%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.7%Inverse: 0.5%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 19.1%Dais Johnston: 7.8%Inverse: 8.0%Hasty Generalization19.1%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.7%Inverse: 0.9%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 7.5%Dais Johnston: 5.3%Inverse: 4.2%Appeal to Emotion7.5%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 1.3%Inverse: 1.1%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 11.0%Dais Johnston: 2.8%Inverse: 3.4%Post Hoc (False Cause)11.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.4%Inverse: 0.5%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.7%Inverse: 0.6%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 7.5%Dais Johnston: 1.5%Inverse: 1.3%Anecdotal7.5%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.2%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 7.3%Dais Johnston: 2.0%Inverse: 2.5%Ambiguity (Equivocation)7.3%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.0%Inverse: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.2%Inverse: 0.3%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.0%Inverse: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.2%Inverse: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.0%Inverse: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 6.5%Dais Johnston: 2.0%Inverse: 1.6%Unattributed Quote6.5%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 1.0%Inverse: 0.5%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 7.7%Dais Johnston: 20.4%Inverse: 21.3%Biased Writer Voice7.7%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 1.0%Inverse: 1.5%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.1%Inverse: 0.2%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Dais Johnston: 0.0%Inverse: 0.0%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 1.6%Dais Johnston: 3.3%Inverse: 2.0%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…1.6%

492 words analyzed.

Speakers

No attributed speakers were identified in this analysis.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.