BS Summary: This article contains 24 faulty reasoning types, including Hasty Generalization, Biased Writer Voice, and Confirmation Bias, with Recency Bias as the most egregious example at 14% saturation with 82 hits. Analysis detected 832 faulty-reasoning hits from 586 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 42% and a BS Rank of 47% (14,984 of 28,112 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 53.30% of the article peer group.

CHEYENNE  A couple of unusual events that occurred recently may signal a change in the outcome of the Republican Party primary election this month. 
First was the illegal Republican Party central committee vote for primary candidates that chose Brent Bien as their favorite for governor over Megan Degenfelder. 
Degenfelder, the current State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was endorsed twice by President Donald Trump. 
That endorsement did not help her with this group of Republican Central Committee members. 
While you can dismiss that limited ballot that violated current state law regulating political party involvement in the primaries, another sign of insurrection popped up in Hot Springs County. 
That is where four GOP candidates are running for the state House District 28 seat being vacated by Rep. 
John Winter of Thermopolis. 
Winter is one of the early founders of the Freedom Caucus. 
His legacy will not be carried on by his successor. 
The four men seeking his seat say they will not join the Freedom Caucus if they are elected, according to a story in Cowboy State Daily. 
The candidates are Marshall Keller, Allen Hogg, Carlin Jones and Roland Luehne. 
“I don’t believe I should be taking orders from a caucus,” said Keller, according to earlier sources. 
“I believe I should be listening to my constituents.” 
Now you can say these are just blips - slight aberrations - that do not signify a major shrift. 
Yet that shift is also occurring nationwide as Trump’s performance rate drops in the polls. 
Coupled with the Freedom Caucus’s less than splendid record in the last legislative session, it is possible we are in another period of change. 
Wyoming voters, in my experience, have shown a marked tendency to be independent. 
So their embrace of the Freedom Caucus was a surprise. 
While I believe the new developments must be a sign of something going on that will not help the Freedom Caucus or the MAGA movement, I was not sure how significant it is. 
So I called an expert, Phil Roberts of Laramie, Professor of History Emeritus at the University of Wyoming, who specializes in Wyoming history. 
“I think it’s starting to crack,” Roberts said in a phone interview last week. 
He believes there are a lot people who will not vote for the MAGA agenda again. 
Voters this year have their choice between a candidate who has pledged loyalty to the President and his administration  or to the candidate who has pledged loyalty to the people. 
In all the history of Wyoming, voters have never elected a governor or other top officials who had pledged loyalty to a president, Roberts said. 
In other words, a Trump endorsement could be a negative this election. 
Roberts believes the Freedom Caucus has had its day and will lose seats in this election. 
He also predicted that Harriet Hageman will lose her bid for a U.S. 
Senate seat. 
Roberts said Hageman was elected to the U.S. 
House in an unusual year 
She ran against the unpopular incumbent Liz Cheney. 
The daughter of the late former vice president Dick Cheney and his author-wife, Lynne, she voted for the impeachment of Donald Trump and won the wrath of the Republican Party. 
Trump endorsed Hageman, who defeated Cheney in a landslide. 
Meanwhile the Cheyenne TV station last week showed a campaign ad with President Trump urging voters to elect Megan Degenfelder for governor. 
Trump said she is a “patriot.” 
Contact Joan Barron at 307-632-2534 or jmbarron@bresnan.net 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 8.0%Joan Barron: 8.4%Cowboy State Daily: 1.5%Confirmation Bias8.0%This article: 2.0%Joan Barron: 0.5%Cowboy State Daily: 0.5%Anchoring Bias2.0%This article: 6.7%Joan Barron: 2.2%Cowboy State Daily: 1.6%Availability Heuristic6.7%This article: 4.3%Joan Barron: 1.1%Cowboy State Daily: 0.5%Representativeness Heuristic4.3%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.3%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 5.5%Joan Barron: 3.0%Cowboy State Daily: 2.4%Overconfidence Bias5.5%This article: 5.3%Joan Barron: 5.3%Cowboy State Daily: 1.4%Framing Effect5.3%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.6%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.2%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.0%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 5.6%Joan Barron: 1.4%Cowboy State Daily: 1.5%Optimism Bias5.6%This article: 4.1%Joan Barron: 1.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.7%Pessimism Bias4.1%This article: 6.3%Joan Barron: 1.6%Cowboy State Daily: 2.0%Negativity Bias6.3%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.9%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.3%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.0%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.8%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 2.6%Joan Barron: 0.6%Cowboy State Daily: 1.8%Halo Effect2.6%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 14.0%Joan Barron: 4.4%Cowboy State Daily: 0.5%Recency Bias14.0%This article: 3.6%Joan Barron: 0.9%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Primacy Effect3.6%This article: 3.2%Joan Barron: 0.8%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias3.2%This article: 5.1%Joan Barron: 1.3%Cowboy State Daily: 0.3%Ad Hominem5.1%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.4%Straw Man0.0%This article: 3.9%Joan Barron: 2.0%Cowboy State Daily: 1.6%Appeal to Authority3.9%This article: 5.3%Joan Barron: 4.0%Cowboy State Daily: 1.1%False Dilemma5.3%This article: 7.7%Joan Barron: 1.9%Cowboy State Daily: 0.6%Slippery Slope7.7%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 13.5%Joan Barron: 7.5%Cowboy State Daily: 2.5%Hasty Generalization13.5%This article: 4.1%Joan Barron: 1.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Red Herring4.1%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.2%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 1.3%Cowboy State Daily: 2.3%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 3.2%Joan Barron: 0.8%Cowboy State Daily: 0.3%Begging the Question3.2%This article: 6.1%Joan Barron: 2.2%Cowboy State Daily: 0.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)6.1%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 6.7%Joan Barron: 2.8%Cowboy State Daily: 1.6%Anecdotal6.7%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.2%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.4%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.0%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 2.9%Joan Barron: 0.7%Cowboy State Daily: 0.6%Unattributed Quote2.9%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.3%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 12.3%Joan Barron: 9.4%Cowboy State Daily: 1.5%Biased Writer Voice12.3%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 1.8%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 2.6%Cowboy State Daily: 0.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.2%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Joan Barron: 0.0%Cowboy State Daily: 0.5%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

586 words analyzed.

Speakers

3speakers21%attributed speech462writer words
Selected voice

Phil Roberts

91%flagged-word coverage
92 attributed words74% of attributed speech82% writer coverage
0%10.0%20.0%Biased Writer Voice-15.6 ptsWriter: 15.6%Phil Roberts: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.