9to5Mac58%

Report: iPhone Ultra to have incredibly limited availability at launch, may ship slightly later 76%

By Michael Burkhardt76%

7/5/2026, 1:38:55 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 23 faulty reasoning types, including Pessimism Bias, Overconfidence Bias, and Hasty Generalization, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 22.7% saturation with 107 hits. Analysis detected 970 faulty-reasoning hits from 472 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 68% and a BS Rank of 76% (5,270 of 21,887 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 75.90% of the article peer group.

According to supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple is likely to have very limited supply for iPhone Ultra at its time of announcement in September. 
This means it’s plausible that the company may delay shipping it for another month or two, similar to iPhone X. 
Apple’s long-awaited first foldable iPhone (rumored to be called iPhone Ultra) should finally debut later this year. 
It should include a 5.5-inch outside display, and a 7.8-inch inside display  making it similar to an iPad mini. 
It’ll also be under 5mm thick when unfolded, making it even thinner than an iPhone Air. 
It’s rumored to come in between $2300 and $2500, which Kuo reaffirms. 
However, when Apple announces the foldable iPhone this September, it’ll be incredibly hard to get one. 
From Kuo’s report: 
My latest industry survey indicates that assembly shipments for the foldable iPhone in 2H26 will be roughly 7–8 million units, with 3Q26 shipments at 0.5–1 million units, or about 10% of the total. 
By comparison, estimated 3Q26 shipments of the iPhone 18 Pro / Pro Max total roughly 20–22 million units, significantly higher than the foldable iPhone and already meeting the inventory requirement for an official launch. 
Apple will only be building up to 8 million foldable iPhones by years end, with only up to 1 million of those being available in the third quarter. 
This makes a September release improbable, similar to the iPhone X. 
Regardless, whenever it does go on sale  it’ll be incredibly hard to get one with these numbers. 
Kuo estimates that delivery times could stretch to "4-6 weeks or longer", and that it’ll be hard to get one until at least December. 
He even predicts that iPhone Ultras could be scalped for a 50-100% premium to its actual retail price. 
Wrap up 
All in all, if you want a foldable iPhone, preordering one as soon as possible is going to be the only way you’ll be able to get one near launch. 
Given the incredibly low number of Q3 shipments, I wouldn’t assume you’ll be able to just walk into a store and buy one freely. 
Kuo estimates that the launch buzz and supply constraints should have faded by the first quarter of 2027, and by then we’ll have a much better picture of what foldable iPhone demand looks like. 
Are you looking forward to the iPhone Ultra? 
Will you be picking one up at launch? 
Let us know in the comments. 
My favorite Apple accessory recommendations: 
Anker MagSafe/Qi2 Ultra-Slim Battery Pack 
AirPods Pro 3 (2x ANC vs AirPods Pro 2!) 
Anker Nano 45W Fast Charger with Smart Display 
Anker Nano 13-in-1 MacBook Docking Station 
Logitech MX Master 4 Mouse for Mac 
Belkin Qi2 3-in-1 MagSafe Charging Stand 
Follow Michael: X/Twitter, Bluesky, Instagram 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 2.5%Michael Burkhardt: 2.8%9to5Mac: 2.7%Confirmation Bias2.5%This article: 4.2%Michael Burkhardt: 2.3%9to5Mac: 2.2%Anchoring Bias4.2%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 2.5%9to5Mac: 2.8%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 13.8%Michael Burkhardt: 2.0%9to5Mac: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic13.8%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.1%9to5Mac: 0.3%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 18.0%Michael Burkhardt: 4.3%9to5Mac: 2.9%Overconfidence Bias18.0%This article: 3.0%Michael Burkhardt: 6.1%9to5Mac: 5.3%Framing Effect3.0%This article: 6.4%Michael Burkhardt: 2.6%9to5Mac: 1.3%Loss Aversion6.4%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 1.5%9to5Mac: 0.7%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.2%9to5Mac: 0.0%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 10.8%Michael Burkhardt: 6.3%9to5Mac: 3.4%Optimism Bias10.8%This article: 18.6%Michael Burkhardt: 1.6%9to5Mac: 1.9%Pessimism Bias18.6%This article: 22.7%Michael Burkhardt: 6.0%9to5Mac: 4.6%Negativity Bias22.7%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.5%9to5Mac: 0.7%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.5%9to5Mac: 0.4%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 1.0%9to5Mac: 0.3%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.1%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 5.3%Michael Burkhardt: 5.2%9to5Mac: 3.5%Halo Effect5.3%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 3.8%Michael Burkhardt: 1.7%9to5Mac: 1.8%Recency Bias3.8%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.4%9to5Mac: 0.4%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.1%9to5Mac: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.1%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 7.8%Michael Burkhardt: 4.1%9to5Mac: 3.6%Appeal to Authority7.8%This article: 6.4%Michael Burkhardt: 3.5%9to5Mac: 1.4%False Dilemma6.4%This article: 3.8%Michael Burkhardt: 0.2%9to5Mac: 0.6%Slippery Slope3.8%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 17.2%Michael Burkhardt: 6.5%9to5Mac: 4.8%Hasty Generalization17.2%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.7%9to5Mac: 0.8%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 1.8%9to5Mac: 2.2%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.6%9to5Mac: 0.6%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 6.6%Michael Burkhardt: 2.6%9to5Mac: 1.9%Post Hoc (False Cause)6.6%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 7.2%Michael Burkhardt: 0.2%9to5Mac: 0.1%Composition/Division7.2%This article: 7.0%Michael Burkhardt: 3.0%9to5Mac: 2.4%Anecdotal7.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 5.1%Michael Burkhardt: 3.2%9to5Mac: 1.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)5.1%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.2%9to5Mac: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.2%9to5Mac: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 12.3%Michael Burkhardt: 1.3%9to5Mac: 2.4%Unattributed Quote12.3%This article: 0.6%Michael Burkhardt: 0.2%9to5Mac: 0.4%Quote-first Misdirection0.6%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 11.0%9to5Mac: 6.0%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 6.4%Michael Burkhardt: 2.4%9to5Mac: 2.1%Indoctrination6.4%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Michael Burkhardt: 0.0%9to5Mac: 0.0%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 16.1%Michael Burkhardt: 22.9%9to5Mac: 15.7%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…16.1%

472 words analyzed.

Speakers

1speaker31%attributed speech326writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageMing-Chi Kuo • 25 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 17 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageMing-Chi Kuo • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 3 words • 100.0% coverageMing-Chi Kuo • 33 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 28 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageMing-Chi Kuo • 24 words • 0.0% coverageMing-Chi Kuo • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageMing-Chi Kuo • 34 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Ming-Chi Kuo

100%flagged-word coverage
146 attributed words100% of attributed speech91% writer coverage
0%20.0%40.0%Unattributed Quote+39.7 ptsWriter: 0.0%Ming-Chi Kuo: 39.7%39.7%Attempt to Sell a Product -23.3 ptsWriter: 23.3%Ming-Chi Kuo: 0.0%0.0%Indoctrination-9.2 ptsWriter: 9.2%Ming-Chi Kuo: 0.0%0.0%Quote-first Misdirection-0.9 ptsWriter: 0.9%Ming-Chi Kuo: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.