NPR84%

'Cautiously optimistic': Swing voters describe their view of America at 250 40%

By Tamara Keith0%

7/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 26 faulty reasoning types, including Representativeness Heuristic, Hasty Generalization, and Anecdotal, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 33% saturation with 260 hits. Analysis detected 1,474 faulty-reasoning hits from 789 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 45% and a BS Rank of 40% (13,210 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 60.40% of the article peer group.

Are you proud to be an American? 
That's a question we posed to a group of swing voters from swing states, who have a history of voting for candidates from both major political parties. 
Their answers reflect a nuanced view of this country at a time of partisan polarization and widespread discontent. 
"The answer is yes," said John from Pennsylvania in a voice memo shared with NPR. 
"It's a very imperfect country. 
There's a lot that still needs to be worked on, a lot that still needs to be done." 
John is one of a dozen voters participating in a project called Swing Shift, where we regularly take the temperature of voters who could help decide the elections in 2026 and 2028. 
NPR agreed not to use the full names of these voters so they are able to speak more freely about politics. 
"Yes, I am and always have been proud to be an American," said Jason from North Carolina. 
"I would still say, yes, here, but with some slight embarrassment," said Wally from Georgia. 
"I'm proud to be an American," said Gerald, also from Georgia. 
"This is the greatest country on the planet Earth." 
"We live in the best country in the world," said Theresa from Pennsylvania. 
"We have democracy. 
We have freedom." 
"I do have some pride to be an American," said Evan from Wisconsin. 
"However, I also have a lot of shame." 
"Why shouldn't I be proud to be American?" 
asked Lee from Nevada. 
"I mean, we live in one of the best countries in the world." 
To mark America's 250th Anniversary, a new poll from NPR/PBS News/Marist asked that question and found a partisan divide in whether people express pride, and a divergence in intensity as well. 
Overall 65% of those surveyed say they are "proud" or "very proud" to be an American. 
But the partisan split is stark. 93% of Republicans are "proud" or "very proud" while that same sentiment is shared by only 45% of Democrats. 
A pulse of the country as it turns 250 
All over the country, with big fireworks shows and small backyard barbeques, Americans will mark the nation's 250th birthday today. 
To get a sense of how they are feeling about the country, we asked the swing voters for one word or phrase to describe how they feel about America's future. 
They are "uncertain," "concerned," "hopeful," "worried," "excited," and "cautiously optimistic." 
And then there's Lee, who has a new job, and his optimism is unqualified. 
"I think we're going to have a good future," he said. 
"Because, why wouldn't we?" 
Gerald, who voted for Presidents Obama and Biden but has gone all in on MAGA and President Trump, sees Democrats as a threat. 
"They try to take them basic freedoms away every single day," said Gerald. 
"If you give them a foot, they will take 10,000 miles. 
We cannot let up." 
Evan, who grew up Republican and voted Democratic for the first time in 2024, says he's worried about corruption. 
"The government is not working for people or the population anymore," Evan said. 
"They're working for themselves, corporations and other countries." 
Wally says that he voted unenthusiastically for Trump in 2024, but has since soured on him. 
He worries about corruption and a decline of trust in institutions. 
"I feel we're drifting further and further away from what we're founded on," said Wally. 
"America has turned into a free-for-all of sorts. 
People are anxious over the future, and we're seeing in the political sphere, elected officials essentially getting richer and richer off the backs of hardworking Americans and using their status to look after themselves and not their constituents." 
Two of the swing voters, without prompting, brought up artificial intelligence. 
"I'm worried what's going to happen, if we're going to let technology take over fundamentally who we are as human beings," said Theresa, adding "we need people to be in control, and we need people to be in control that are kind." 
John describes AI as "challenging and scary." 
But he also says he's hopeful it could be harnessed to cure cancer or something good. 
As he reflects on his own country, he's found perspective from an unlikely source: World Cup soccer fans and tourists. 
"They're amazed at our abundance. 
They're amazed at our beauty, our wealth," John said. 
"They're intrigued by our food. 
They're intrigued by our air conditioning." 
Jason, from North Carolina, says watching these fans "who are experiencing the United States for the first time themselves, and seeing everything from the volume of choices, to pricing, to the freedom of movement and speech and actions," has given him a new appreciation for what Americans have. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 2.2%Tamara Keith: 2.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.4%Confirmation Bias2.2%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.6%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 8.0%Tamara Keith: 2.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.8%Availability Heuristic8.0%This article: 17.2%Tamara Keith: 2.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Representativeness Heuristic17.2%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.8%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 1.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.4%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 9.6%Tamara Keith: 8.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 11.1%Framing Effect9.6%This article: 0.5%Tamara Keith: 1.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Loss Aversion0.5%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 6.8%Tamara Keith: 3.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.4%Optimism Bias6.8%This article: 12.5%Tamara Keith: 3.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%Pessimism Bias12.5%This article: 33.0%Tamara Keith: 8.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 11.3%Negativity Bias33.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 2.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 2.9%Tamara Keith: 1.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Fundamental Attribution Error2.9%This article: 2.4%Tamara Keith: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Actor-Observer Bias2.4%This article: 2.5%Tamara Keith: 3.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%In-Group Bias2.5%This article: 2.9%Tamara Keith: 1.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias2.9%This article: 7.0%Tamara Keith: 6.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Halo Effect7.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 2.0%Tamara Keith: 1.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.7%Recency Bias2.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.5%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 1.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 2.9%Tamara Keith: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Straw Man2.9%This article: 2.5%Tamara Keith: 4.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 6.1%Appeal to Authority2.5%This article: 7.1%Tamara Keith: 1.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.5%False Dilemma7.1%This article: 10.3%Tamara Keith: 2.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.3%Slippery Slope10.3%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 16.1%Tamara Keith: 4.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 4.4%Hasty Generalization16.1%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.7%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 10.1%Tamara Keith: 7.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 6.6%Appeal to Emotion10.1%This article: 1.5%Tamara Keith: 1.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.9%Begging the Question1.5%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 1.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 13.2%Tamara Keith: 2.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Anecdotal13.2%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 4.1%Tamara Keith: 0.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.5%Ambiguity (Equivocation)4.1%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.5%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 1.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.3%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 1.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.9%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 4.1%Tamara Keith: 3.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.1%Biased Writer Voice4.1%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.0%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 2.4%Tamara Keith: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias2.4%This article: 2.9%Tamara Keith: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Politically Right Leaning Bias2.9%This article: 0.0%Tamara Keith: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

789 words analyzed.

Speakers

8speakers57%attributed speech339writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 100.0% coverageJohn • 15 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 5 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 0.0% coverageNPR • 21 words • 0.0% coverageJason • 17 words • 0.0% coverageWally • 15 words • 0.0% coverageGerald • 11 words • 0.0% coverageGerald • 9 words • 0.0% coverageTheresa • 13 words • 0.0% coverageTheresa • 3 words • 0.0% coverageTheresa • 3 words • 0.0% coverageEvan • 13 words • 0.0% coverageEvan • 8 words • 0.0% coverageLee • 8 words • 0.0% coverageLee • 4 words • 0.0% coverageLee • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverageLee • 11 words • 0.0% coverageLee • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 100.0% coverageGerald • 13 words • 0.0% coverageGerald • 11 words • 0.0% coverageGerald • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 100.0% coverageEvan • 13 words • 0.0% coverageEvan • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWally • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWally • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWally • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWally • 38 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageTheresa • 42 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 7 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 5 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 9 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 5 words • 0.0% coverageJohn • 6 words • 0.0% coverageJason • 48 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Theresa

95%flagged-word coverage
61 attributed words14% of attributed speech93% writer coverage
0%5.0%10.0%Biased Writer Voice-9.4 ptsWriter: 9.4%Theresa: 0.0%0.0%Politically Right Leaning -6.8 ptsWriter: 6.8%Theresa: 0.0%0.0%Politically Left Leaning B-5.6 ptsWriter: 5.6%Theresa: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.