NPR⁠84%

Oil prices drop to cheapest level since early days of Mideast conflict ⁠57%

By Camila Domonoske⁠68%

6/14/2026, 6:33:09 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 21 faulty reasoning types, including Biased Writer Voice, Post Hoc (False Cause), and Confirmation Bias, with Appeal to Authority as the most egregious example at 23.7% saturation with 146 hits. Analysis detected 1,085 faulty-reasoning hits from 617 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 54.2% and a BS Rank of ⁠57% (9,434 of 21,887 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 56.90% of the article peer group.

Crude oil prices are down sharply on Monday morning, after President Trump, Iranian leaders and Pakistani negotiators all indicated that a deal to end the war with Iran will be signed on Friday. 
President Trump posted online about the deal on Sunday evening. 
Oil futures prices promptly sank around 4%, after markets reopened for trading following their typical weekend break. 
Prices had already fallen significantly on Thursday and Friday in anticipation of a deal. 
By Monday, prices were down nearly 13% from where it had been in the middle of last week. 
The cost of one barrel of Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was around $83, and West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, around $80. 
At one point in this conflict, global oil prices had touched $126 a barrel. 
While oil prices remain elevated compared to pre-war prices, which were in the $60s, they are now cheaper than they have been at any point since the very first days of this conflict. 
Cheaper crude oil should push U.S. gasoline prices down, which should in turn help with high levels of inflation. 
The war in Iran had driven the national average up by as much as $1.50 a gallon; prices have eased in recent weeks, as crude prices dropped on expectations of a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but gasoline remains more than a dollar higher than the pre-war average. 
Trump's initial post on Sunday evening said he was authorizing "the toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz," and directed ships to "start your engines." 
Before the war, approximately 20% of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas passed through that waterway, and the disruption of traffic has caused the greatest oil supply shock in history. 
In a follow-up post, Trump later said that the strait would reopen "upon the signing of the Deal on Friday, for purposes of mine removal." 
Markets hope this time, the deal is real 
Throughout this conflict, oil prices have repeatedly fallen on headlines promising an imminent deal to reopen the strait; however, they've never dropped this low. 
Significantly, Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who has played a central role negotiating between the U.S. and Iran, has confirmed that a deal has been reached. 
"Washington has an incentive to avoid a spike in gasoline prices ahead of the midterms, while Tehran is seeking sanctions relief and restored export revenues, and the global economy has a strong interest in keeping the Strait of Hormuz open," writes Claudio Galimberti, the chief economist for the research firm Rystad Energy, in a note. 
"On rare occasions, these incentives align in a coherent way, and that is the strongest argument that this is more than another short-lived diplomatic cycle," 
While risks remain, Galimberti says, a reopening of the strait would begin to reduce global inflationary pressures, which have been mounting. 
A rapid reopening of the strait would ease pressure on the world's oil consumers, particularly in Asia and Europe. 
However, it would not mean an immediate return to pre-war oil supply levels and prices. 
"It could be months before things return to something like the way things were before the war, at least as far as flows out of the Strait of Hormuz go," says Kevin Book, a managing director at Clearview Energy Partners, an independent research firm. 
That's because some oil and natural gas production fields and refineries have been taken offline, or damaged in the conflict. 
"The facilities that have been shut down, some of them can start fairly quickly. 
Others may take months," he said. 
"It's not obvious that we'll be in a surplus any time soon," he says. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 15.7%Camila Domonoske: 4.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.4%Confirmation Bias15.7%This article: 2.9%Camila Domonoske: 2.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.6%Anchoring Bias2.9%This article: 11.2%Camila Domonoske: 2.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.8%Availability Heuristic11.2%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.8%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 1.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.4%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 1.9%Camila Domonoske: 6.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 11.1%Framing Effect1.9%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 1.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 2.4%Camila Domonoske: 1.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Status Quo Bias2.4%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 13.8%Camila Domonoske: 4.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.4%Optimism Bias13.8%This article: 2.3%Camila Domonoske: 1.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%Pessimism Bias2.3%This article: 8.1%Camila Domonoske: 10.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 11.3%Negativity Bias8.1%This article: 8.9%Camila Domonoske: 0.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%Self-Serving Bias8.9%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 4.2%Camila Domonoske: 1.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Halo Effect4.2%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 11.5%Camila Domonoske: 1.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.7%Recency Bias11.5%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.5%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Straw Man0.0%This article: 23.7%Camila Domonoske: 6.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 6.1%Appeal to Authority23.7%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 1.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.5%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.3%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 3.1%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Circular Reasoning3.1%This article: 3.9%Camila Domonoske: 4.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 4.4%Hasty Generalization3.9%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Red Herring0.0%This article: 3.9%Camila Domonoske: 0.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.7%Bandwagon3.9%This article: 5.0%Camila Domonoske: 3.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 6.6%Appeal to Emotion5.0%This article: 4.1%Camila Domonoske: 0.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.9%Begging the Question4.1%This article: 16.2%Camila Domonoske: 3.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)16.2%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 3.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 1.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.5%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 1.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.5%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 9.1%Camila Domonoske: 0.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.3%Unattributed Quote9.1%This article: 4.2%Camila Domonoske: 0.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.9%Quote-first Misdirection4.2%This article: 19.8%Camila Domonoske: 2.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.1%Biased Writer Voice19.8%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 1.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.0%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Camila Domonoske: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

617 words analyzed.

Speakers

4speakers43%attributed speech351writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 12 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 100.0% coverageDonald Trump • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 17 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 50 words • 100.0% coverageDonald Trump • 26 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 100.0% coverageDonald Trump • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageShehbaz Sharif • 26 words • 0.0% coverageClaudio Galimberti • 55 words • 0.0% coverageClaudio Galimberti • 25 words • 100.0% coverageClaudio Galimberti • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageKevin Book • 44 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageKevin Book • 14 words • 0.0% coverageKevin Book • 6 words • 0.0% coverageKevin Book • 14 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Claudio Galimberti

100%flagged-word coverage
101 attributed words38% of attributed speech87% writer coverage
0%17.5%35.0%Biased Writer Voice-34.8 ptsWriter: 34.8%Claudio Galimberti: 0.0%0.0%Unattributed Quote+15.9 ptsWriter: 8.8%Claudio Galimberti: 24.8%24.8%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.