Daily Kos84%

So much for Art of the Iran Deal 59%

By kos74%

7/10/2026, 11:01:00 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 29 faulty reasoning types, including Biased Writer Voice, Confirmation Bias, and Hasty Generalization, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 45.1% saturation with 353 hits. Analysis detected 1,780 faulty-reasoning hits from 783 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 54.9% and a BS Rank of 59% (9,180 of 21,886 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 58.10% of the article peer group.

So much for Art of the Iran Deal, huh? 
July 10, 2026 at 4:01 PM 
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Government supporters gather to mark the 40th day since the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran, Iran, on April 9. 
From the start, critics of President Donald Trump’s memorandum of understanding with Iran—the one that led to the current broken ceasefire —noted that it gave Iran de facto control over the Strait of Hormuz. 
Not only had Trump failed in all of his stated objectives —regime change, ending Iran’s nuclear program, and ending its support for terrorist groups—but he also promised Iran hundreds of billions of dollars in reparations and, effectively, perpetual control over one of the world’s most strategically important waterways. 
“Upon the signing of this MOU, the Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge, for 60 days only,” the memo reads, imposing a bizarre—and absolute—time limit on free passage. 
There is nothing ambiguous about “no charge, for 60 days only .” 
Cartoon by David Horsey David Horsey/Tribune Content Agency 
Then it handed Iran and Oman responsibility for deciding what came next: 
“The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialog with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf littoral states in line with the applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the Strait of Hormuz.” 
How could anyone read that and not conclude it was a green light for Iran and Oman to work out a toll system? 
Even the requirement that other regional states be part of the “discussion” means little. 
Iran could simply call them up and announce, “We’re charging $1 million per vessel.” 
That’s very much a discussion. 
But once again, we now have evidence that there is no one serious negotiating on behalf of the United States. 
“Trump administration officials saw that clause as unlocking the strait, the main accomplishment of the president’s deal,” reported the Wall Street Journal. 
“Iranian hard-liners, however, have used it to push a maximalist interpretation that gives the Islamic Republic exclusive control over the waterway as a key source of leverage. 
The U.S. and its Arab Gulf allies don’t want Iranian hegemony over Hormuz, the lifeline for much of the world’s oil and gas supply. 
The language of the deal has left the two sides fighting over that point rather than making progress on a final agreement on Tehran’s nuclear program.” 
If the U.S. didn’t want Iranian hegemony, why did they negotiate a deal that offered free passage for only two months, then gave carte blanche to lock in their hegemony? 
Residents swim in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz as a small motorboat passes cargo ships and other commercial vessels offshore near Bandar Abbas, Iran, June 17. 
AP 
“This gap in interpretation is wide, baked into the deal, and not exactly surprising,” Israeli geopolitical analyst Michael Horowitz told the Journal. 
“Washington has tried to convince Tehran that compliance would be more profitable, but this framing misses the point. 
Iran’s behavior isn’t driven by financial motives but by security concerns and bargaining leverage. 
It’s a power dynamic.” 
That’s the fundamental flaw in Trump’s negotiating style. 
He assumes everyone is motivated by the same transactional incentives that drive him. 
He has built his public persona around the idea that every negotiation has a winner and a loser, boasting that he always comes out on top. 
As George Wu of the University of Chicago Booth School put it , Trump “casts negotiation as a zero-sum game, with a clear winner and a clear loser.” 
Ironically, it was Iran—not Trump—that actually negotiated this agreement according to that philosophy, maximizing its leverage, exploiting every ambiguity, and walking away with the better deal. 
“Iran saw the deal as a recognition it was in control. 
Now countries in the region are paying the price,” Emirati political strategist Amjad Taha told the Journal. 
“It’s a disaster, and we are back to square one.” 
We'll get straight to the point: The financial hardships that Daily Kos is facing this year are tough. 
We continue to be paywall-free. 
We continue to be supported by our readers, not billionaires or corporations. 
But we need to bring in more revenue. 
We are leaning on our community more than ever to help make ends meet. 
#Donald Trump #Iran war #Strait of Hormuz 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 16.3%kos: 6.5%Daily Kos: 5.7%Confirmation Bias16.3%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.3%Daily Kos: 0.7%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 6.1%kos: 2.6%Daily Kos: 3.3%Availability Heuristic6.1%This article: 0.0%kos: 1.0%Daily Kos: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 3.3%kos: 1.5%Daily Kos: 0.9%Hindsight Bias3.3%This article: 5.1%kos: 2.6%Daily Kos: 1.4%Overconfidence Bias5.1%This article: 9.5%kos: 5.7%Daily Kos: 8.9%Framing Effect9.5%This article: 2.8%kos: 0.4%Daily Kos: 0.6%Loss Aversion2.8%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.4%Daily Kos: 0.3%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.2%Daily Kos: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 1.1%Daily Kos: 1.4%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 4.6%kos: 1.6%Daily Kos: 2.0%Pessimism Bias4.6%This article: 45.1%kos: 11.2%Daily Kos: 15.4%Negativity Bias45.1%This article: 4.0%kos: 0.9%Daily Kos: 1.0%Self-Serving Bias4.0%This article: 6.5%kos: 3.1%Daily Kos: 2.6%Fundamental Attribution Error6.5%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.1%Daily Kos: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 1.5%kos: 2.4%Daily Kos: 2.1%In-Group Bias1.5%This article: 0.0%kos: 2.1%Daily Kos: 1.3%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 2.6%Daily Kos: 1.8%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.4%Daily Kos: 0.8%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.0%Daily Kos: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.8%Daily Kos: 1.5%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.4%Daily Kos: 0.4%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.1%Daily Kos: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 3.3%kos: 2.5%Daily Kos: 5.8%Ad Hominem3.3%This article: 2.9%kos: 1.2%Daily Kos: 1.4%Straw Man2.9%This article: 6.4%kos: 3.1%Daily Kos: 3.2%Appeal to Authority6.4%This article: 11.7%kos: 3.7%Daily Kos: 2.3%False Dilemma11.7%This article: 1.8%kos: 0.9%Daily Kos: 1.3%Slippery Slope1.8%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.2%Daily Kos: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 15.5%kos: 12.6%Daily Kos: 9.8%Hasty Generalization15.5%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.3%Daily Kos: 0.5%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.3%Daily Kos: 0.6%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 4.3%kos: 5.3%Daily Kos: 7.3%Appeal to Emotion4.3%This article: 1.5%kos: 1.6%Daily Kos: 1.9%Begging the Question1.5%This article: 7.7%kos: 2.3%Daily Kos: 3.9%Post Hoc (False Cause)7.7%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.2%Daily Kos: 0.5%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 2.6%kos: 0.4%Daily Kos: 0.8%Burden of Proof2.6%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.0%Daily Kos: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.2%Daily Kos: 0.3%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 1.8%kos: 2.1%Daily Kos: 2.0%Anecdotal1.8%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.3%Daily Kos: 0.2%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 13.4%kos: 2.1%Daily Kos: 1.7%Ambiguity (Equivocation)13.4%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.0%Daily Kos: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.0%Daily Kos: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 2.9%kos: 0.4%Daily Kos: 0.2%Personal Incredulity2.9%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.1%Daily Kos: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.3%Daily Kos: 0.4%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 1.4%kos: 5.0%Daily Kos: 2.8%Unattributed Quote1.4%This article: 5.5%kos: 2.5%Daily Kos: 1.8%Quote-first Misdirection5.5%This article: 30.1%kos: 21.4%Daily Kos: 23.1%Biased Writer Voice30.1%This article: 2.3%kos: 3.1%Daily Kos: 2.1%Indoctrination2.3%This article: 0.0%kos: 5.6%Daily Kos: 10.4%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%kos: 0.3%Daily Kos: 0.4%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 7.3%kos: 1.7%Daily Kos: 2.2%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…7.3%

783 words analyzed.

Speakers

5speakers22%attributed speech613writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 48 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 43 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 100.0% coverageDavid Horsey • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 53 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 100.0% coverageWall Street Journal • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWall Street Journal • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 28 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageMichael Horowitz • 22 words • 0.0% coverageMichael Horowitz • 18 words • 0.0% coverageMichael Horowitz • 14 words • 0.0% coverageMichael Horowitz • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 100.0% coverageGeorge Wu • 28 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 100.0% coverageAmjad Taha • 17 words • 0.0% coverageAmjad Taha • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Amjad Taha

100%flagged-word coverage
27 attributed words16% of attributed speech76% writer coverage
0%20.0%40.0%Biased Writer Voice-38.5 ptsWriter: 38.5%Amjad Taha: 0.0%0.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -9.3 ptsWriter: 9.3%Amjad Taha: 0.0%0.0%Quote-first Misdirection-7.0 ptsWriter: 7.0%Amjad Taha: 0.0%0.0%Indoctrination-2.9 ptsWriter: 2.9%Amjad Taha: 0.0%0.0%Unattributed Quote-1.8 ptsWriter: 1.8%Amjad Taha: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.