Bertha expected to make landfall as tropical storm, New Orleans under storm watch 3%

By Marco Cartolano2%

7/21/2026, 12:35:00 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 6 faulty reasoning types, including Overconfidence Bias, Anchoring Bias, and Framing Effect, with Appeal to Authority as the most egregious example at 14.6% saturation with 53 hits. Analysis detected 142 faulty-reasoning hits from 364 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 13% and a BS Rank of 3% (21,428 of 21,886 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 97.90% of the article peer group.

The New Orleans area was under a tropical storm watch early Tuesday morning as Tropical Storm Bertha headed towards southeast Louisiana. 
After becoming the second named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Bertha strengthened overnight to speeds of 50 mph as it moved northwest through the Gulf. 
It is expected to make landfall as a tropical storm near Plaquemines Parish by Wednesday afternoon, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said. 
The New Orleans area could see gusty winds associated with Bertha as early as Tuesday evening. 
Starting Wednesday, parts of southeast Louisiana could see minor to moderate coastal flooding, and some localized flash flooding in urban areas, according to the National Weather Service’s New Orleans office. 
Forecasters expect the bulk of the rainfall and wind to occur to the south of the storm’s center, thanks to the wind shear impacting the storm and giving it an asymmetrical shape. 
“This should keep the greatest impact across the Gulf, but will also mean that if the storm tracks farther north, some of the more impactful weather will move onshore,” Christopher Bannan, an NWS meteorologist, said. 
### Timing 
As of 7 a.m. 
Tuesday, Bertha was about 100 miles southwest of Panama City, Florida and 175 miles southeast of Mobile, Alabama. 
It was traveling northwest at 5 mph and producing maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. 
Bertha should be in the southeastern coastal waters near Louisiana by sunrise Wednesday and move onshore in lower Plaquemines Parish in the afternoon, sometime after 1 p.m. or into the evening. 
A storm surge watch has also been issued for the Alabama and Florida Border to the mouth of the Mississippi River in Southeast Louisiana. 
Storm surge along the mouth of the Mississippi east to the Alabama-Florida border could reach between 2 and 4 feet. 
The shores of Lake Pontchartrain could see storm surge reaching 1 to 3 feet. 
Between 2 and 4 inches of rain could fall along the coast of southeast Louisiana through Thursday, while inland cities could see less rain. 
Tornadoes associated with Bertha appear unlikely. 
*This is a developing story. 
Check back for updates. 
* 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 2.4%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 8.5%Marco Cartolano: 1.2%nola.com: 1.1%Anchoring Bias8.5%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 2.8%nola.com: 2.6%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.5%nola.com: 0.8%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.6%nola.com: 0.4%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 9.6%Marco Cartolano: 1.1%nola.com: 1.1%Overconfidence Bias9.6%This article: 3.6%Marco Cartolano: 0.5%nola.com: 4.4%Framing Effect3.6%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.9%nola.com: 0.8%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.5%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 2.5%nola.com: 3.9%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 1.6%Marco Cartolano: 0.7%nola.com: 1.9%Pessimism Bias1.6%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 1.8%nola.com: 3.7%Negativity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.4%nola.com: 1.8%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.3%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.0%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.9%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 3.0%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.8%nola.com: 1.1%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.7%nola.com: 0.3%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.2%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 14.6%Marco Cartolano: 2.8%nola.com: 3.4%Appeal to Authority14.6%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 1.1%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.6%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 1.7%nola.com: 2.5%Hasty Generalization0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.3%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 4.1%nola.com: 3.6%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.4%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 1.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.5%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 1.9%nola.com: 2.5%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.4%nola.com: 1.3%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.0%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.1%nola.com: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.7%nola.com: 2.2%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.6%nola.com: 0.6%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.6%nola.com: 2.4%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.6%nola.com: 0.4%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Marco Cartolano: 0.0%nola.com: 0.1%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 1.1%Marco Cartolano: 0.3%nola.com: 1.6%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…1.1%

364 words analyzed.

Speakers

3speakers24%attributed speech276writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageNational Hurricane Center • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageNational Weather Service’s New Orleans office • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 0.0% coverageChristopher Bannan • 35 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 5 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Christopher Bannan

100%flagged-word coverage
35 attributed words40% of attributed speech20% writer coverage
0%2.5%5.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -1.4 ptsWriter: 1.4%Christopher Bannan: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.