Governor's race wildly unpredictable two weeks before Californians receive ballots 70%
By Seema Mehta0% Nicole Nixon0%
4/20/2026, 10:27:22 PM
Keywords: Governors Race, California, Xavier Becerra, Betty Yee, Eric Swalwell, Tom Steyer, Democratic Party
BS Summary: This article contains 18 faulty reasoning types, including Recency Bias, Negativity Bias, and Self-Serving Bias, with Halo Effect as the most egregious example at 13.4% saturation with 127 hits. Analysis detected 927 faulty-reasoning hits from 945 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 62.6% and a BS Rank of 70% (6,546 of 21,197 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 69.10% of the article peer group.
The most unpredictable California governor's race in recent history took another set of dizzying turns on Monday, with former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra surging after former Rep.
Eric Swalwell dropped out in the face of sexual assault and misconduct allegations, and former state Controller Betty Yee ending her bid.
The race to replace termed-out Gov.
Gavin Newsom is the first in a quarter of a century with no clear front-runner and a sprawling field of candidates who have been jockeying for the attention of Californians, who are just beginning to pay attention to the campaign two weeks before ballots arrive in their mailboxes.
“I certainly could not have imagined the twists and the disturbing turns that this race has taken,” Yee said as she announced she was dropping out.
“But through it all, my values and my vision for California has never wavered.”
A poll released Monday by the state Democratic Party — its first since Swalwell (D-Dublin) dropped out — showed Becerra's support jumped nine points to 13%, placing him in a tie with Tom Steyer, the billionaire hedge fund founder turned environmental warrior.
Former Rep.
Katie Porter of Orange County saw a slight bump to 10% from 7%, while the remaining Democrats in the contest were mired in the low single digits.
The party began the surveys out of concern that Democrats could be shut out of the governor's race because of California's unique primary system, where the top two vote-getters in the June 2 primary move on to the November general election regardless of political party.
“I continue to believe there are too many Democrats in the field,” California Democratic Party Chairman Rusty Hicks told reporters Monday.
“My call for candidates to honestly assess the viability of their candidacy and campaigns still stands, especially if you are stalled in the single digits, seeing financial resources dry up and/or are failing to pick up additional support.”
Hicks and other party leaders and allies had unsuccessfully urged low-polling candidates to reconsider their candidacies before the filing deadline in an attempt to cull the field and avoid splintering the Democratic vote.
Though most did not name candidates who they thought should think about their viability, Yee was widely believed to be among them.
Yee became emotional as she said on Monday that she decided to withdraw from the race because she wasn't able to raise the resources necessary to compete in the state.
She also said her message of competency and experience wasn't resonating among voters who were seeking a fiery foil to President Trump, not “Boring Betty,” as she dubbed herself.
Yee said she would assess the field before making an announcement on whether she would endorse one of her fellow Democrats.
Becerra was another candidate believed to be a target of party leaders' efforts to shrink the field.
But he held on and apparently benefited from Swalwell's downfall.
“I'm not the richest candidate, I'm not the slickest candidate, but I am the guy that's got you,” Becerra said, rallying supporters in Los Angeles on Saturday.
The audience was filled with members of labor groups backing the longtime politician, and Becerra told them he'd serve as a “union man” in the governor's office.
Pro- and anti-Becerra forces tussled outside the town hall after two people, who declined to identify whom they were working for, passed out fliers highlighting critical media investigations of the U.S.
Department of Health and Human Services during the migrant crisis when the agency was led by Becerra.
Pro-Becerra attendees grabbed the fliers and told the men to go away, prompting a security guard to intervene.
The question is whether Becerra, who also served as state attorney general, a member of Congress and a state Assembly member, can raise the funds necessary to compete in a state with some of the nation's most expensive media markets.
And he was tied in the state party poll with a billionaire who dumped an additional $12.1 million of his own money into his campaign last week.
Steyer's total investment in his bid reached $133 million, according to the California secretary of state's office.
He also received the endorsement of Our Revolution, a progressive political organization founded by U.S.
Sen.
Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
“We've never endorsed a billionaire — but Tom Steyer is using his position to upset the system,” the group posted on X on Monday.
“As Our Revolution executive director Joseph Geevarghese told @theintercept, 'He's been a partner in the movement.
Most billionaires have used their wealth and privilege to lock in the status quo.
Tom is doing the opposite.'"
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, who is also running for governor, accused Steyer of hypocrisy for the hedge fund he founded profiting from investments in private prisons being used to house ICE detainees, and Steyer calling for the abolishment of ICE.
Steyer got “rich investing off the ICE infrastructure he now wants to abolish,” Mahan posted on Instagram.
Steyer, who sold his stake in the hedge fund in 2012, has said he ordered the company to divest from the private prison company and has repeatedly expressed remorse about his former firm's ties with the detention company.
Mahan also appeared Monday at a Hollywood production lot to announce his proposal for a special fund to lure sporting events, concerts and other productions to California as part of his plan to help the struggling film and television industry.
An independent effort supporting Mahan has also raised roughly $11 million since Swalwell left the race.
Mehta reported from Los Angeles and Nixon from Sacramento.
Times staff writer Dakota Smith contributed to this report.
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