RedState91%

Politico Claims JD Vance Talks Too Much 52%

By Adam Turner74%

7/15/2026, 6:30:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 35 faulty reasoning types, including Anecdotal, Post Hoc (False Cause), and Ambiguity (Equivocation), with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 17.4% saturation with 186 hits. Analysis detected 2,148 faulty-reasoning hits from 1,070 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 51.4% and a BS Rank of 52% (9,986 of 20,517 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 51.30% of the article peer group.

According to Politico, Vice President “JD Vance has an Israel problem.” 
There’s angst among a significant majority of pro-Israel Republicans, Christians and Jews alike,” said the donor. 
“Overwhelmingly, I’m seeing unease, and it could be even worse than that.” 
Of course, it’s very important to remember that Politico has its own biases. 
Politico is a hard-left MSM organ that hates Donald Trump, JD Vance, and MAGA. 
It also hates Israel. 
So, this report is a major positive for them, as it enables them to pound all sides and sow division among their enemies. 
Nevertheless, it is also a good article for me to use as a jumping-off point to discuss the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. 
Vice President JD Vance is almost certainly running for president. 
If he runs, he is the clear favorite for the nomination. 
But there are no guarantees in politics, as 2016 showed. 
And as former Vice President Mike Pence can attest, Vance can’t be secure about backing from President Trump. 
As I have written before, a good comparison for the 2028 GOP primary race is the 1988 GOP presidential race. 
That was the last time that a Republican vice president sought to follow his two-term president into the White House. 
Let's look at the polling landscapes, where the two vice presidents are almost identical. 
In July of 1986, Gallup showed that Vice President George H. 
W. 
Bush had 41 percent support, while then-Senate GOP leader Bob Dole had 8 percent, then-Congressman Jack Kemp had 3 percent, and religious journalist Pat Robertson had 6 percent. 
Today, the RCP average has Vice President Vance at 40.3 percent support, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 20 percent, Donald Trump Jr. at 14 percent, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis at 7.1 percent, and Texas Senator Ted Cruz at 3.3 percent. 
For unknown reasons, the media persists in measuring Don Jr., who has explicitly said he is not running and supports Vance. 
Of course, there are some substantial differences between the two vice presidents. 
In 1988, Bush was a two-term vice president, who had been the runner-up in the 1980 presidential race, and who also had had an extensive political career. 
Bush was a member of the establishment faction of the GOP, but as vice president to President Reagan, he had the silent-but-important support of his president and, therefore, had a strong appeal to the conservative Republican faction. 
Those two factions were the most powerful, with the others being the social conservatives, the liberal Republicans, and a tiny libertarian group led by Ron Paul. 
Vance is a one-term vice president who was barely known before being selected by Donald Trump. 
Importantly, he belongs to the restrainer faction of the GOP, which is the smallest group of Republicans, behind the establishment faction, the conservatives, and the MAGA hawks. 
And the restrainers are themselves further divided into the MAGA doves and the libertarians, led by Rand Paul. 
The only real major advantage Vance has over Bush is that Vance is a charismatic candidate who is an excellent speaker, unlike the more tongue-tied Bush. 
But, sometimes, well-spoken politicians may talk too much. 
RELATED: JD Vance Delivers a Brutally Honest Answer About 2028 Ambitions and Marco Rubio 
JD Vance's Response to Trump Dropping Cornyn Like a Hot Rock Is Really a Message From the Voters 
Which brings us back to the Politico article, which reports that Vice President Vance has developed a major problem with pro-Israel Republicans because of his “tough talk” about Israel and Jewish issues. 
Apparently, the leading concern comes from when Vice President Vance took a student’s question at a Turning Point event. 
The student: 
asked why the U.S. supports Israel when “not only does their religion not agree with ours but also openly supports the prosecution [sic] of ours.” 
Vance made no effort to correct the student’s characterization of the Jewish religion as being hostile to Christianity. 
“When I talk to people in the pro-Israel space about Vance, the Turning Point event comes up in almost every conversation,” said one longtime GOP strategist and activist in the pro-Israel camp, granted anonymity to speak openly. 
Further, Vance’s issue with the pro-Israel types is exacerbated by his close connection to Tucker Carlson, who has spun off into insanity, Trump hatred, and actual antisemitism. 
But the vice president’s rhetorical disputes are not limited to one issue. 
Vance, as a restrainer, has verbally jousted with those Republicans who are foreign policy hawks on the issue of Ukraine, who do not necessarily overlap with the pro-Israel types. 
Vance has had additional disputes with the Republican internationalists. 
And recently, his comments on conservative economist Milton Friedman prompted a “warning shot” column from a prominent economic conservative. 
Making things worse, as the Politico article explores, JD Vance is rhetorically tangling with the GOP factions that raise the most money. 
Most GOP fundraisers are establishment types, and the second biggest group is the economic conservatives. 
Pro-Israel fundraisers are a subset of the establishment faction. 
My wife’s favorite philosopher, Sun Tzu, once wrote, “To win one hundred victories in one hundred battles is not the acme of skill. 
To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill.” 
Vice President Vance doesn’t want to entice a strong challenger into the 2028 Republican nomination fight. 
He wants to win without any battle. 
Any talk could jeopardize his presidential strategy, which should be to hug President Trump tightly, so as not to jeopardize the president’s support, which should keep Vance in good favor with the MAGA faction. 
Then he must find a way to appeal to establishment types and/or conservatives in the GOP coalition, especially to their big donors. 
If no establishment types announce for president  a big if  then the "kindler, gentler” Vance might be able to charm them over Sen. 
Cruz, who has his own weaknesses with that faction. 
While doing all this, Vance must keep the loyalty of the ideologically diverse restrainers and somehow extricate himself from the Tucker Carlson situation.” 
But that is just my opinion. 
"We'll (Just Have to) See What Happens." 
And now, all this talk of talk reminds me of this: 
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Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 10.8%Adam Turner: 5.3%RedState: 7.1%Confirmation Bias10.8%This article: 6.5%Adam Turner: 2.3%RedState: 0.7%Anchoring Bias6.5%This article: 9.5%Adam Turner: 3.4%RedState: 3.5%Availability Heuristic9.5%This article: 5.1%Adam Turner: 1.2%RedState: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic5.1%This article: 0.9%Adam Turner: 1.2%RedState: 0.9%Hindsight Bias0.9%This article: 10.2%Adam Turner: 3.5%RedState: 1.8%Overconfidence Bias10.2%This article: 2.3%Adam Turner: 4.9%RedState: 9.3%Framing Effect2.3%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.5%RedState: 0.5%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.7%Adam Turner: 0.1%RedState: 0.4%Status Quo Bias0.7%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.1%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 3.0%Adam Turner: 0.7%RedState: 1.7%Optimism Bias3.0%This article: 5.2%Adam Turner: 0.8%RedState: 1.7%Pessimism Bias5.2%This article: 17.4%Adam Turner: 5.1%RedState: 14.2%Negativity Bias17.4%This article: 2.7%Adam Turner: 0.7%RedState: 1.7%Self-Serving Bias2.7%This article: 5.1%Adam Turner: 2.3%RedState: 2.0%Fundamental Attribution Error5.1%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.3%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 2.9%Adam Turner: 5.9%RedState: 4.8%In-Group Bias2.9%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.5%RedState: 3.1%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 5.9%Adam Turner: 2.3%RedState: 2.0%Halo Effect5.9%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.8%RedState: 0.8%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 1.0%Adam Turner: 0.7%RedState: 1.2%Recency Bias1.0%This article: 1.9%Adam Turner: 0.3%RedState: 0.5%Primacy Effect1.9%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 5.4%Adam Turner: 3.0%RedState: 7.0%Ad Hominem5.4%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 2.7%Straw Man0.0%This article: 3.8%Adam Turner: 1.2%RedState: 3.4%Appeal to Authority3.8%This article: 2.4%Adam Turner: 0.4%RedState: 2.4%False Dilemma2.4%This article: 3.2%Adam Turner: 0.5%RedState: 1.4%Slippery Slope3.2%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.8%RedState: 0.2%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 4.3%Adam Turner: 5.5%RedState: 10.3%Hasty Generalization4.3%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.3%RedState: 0.7%Red Herring0.0%This article: 1.3%Adam Turner: 0.2%RedState: 0.9%Bandwagon1.3%This article: 2.8%Adam Turner: 0.9%RedState: 8.7%Appeal to Emotion2.8%This article: 3.0%Adam Turner: 0.4%RedState: 1.9%Begging the Question3.0%This article: 12.5%Adam Turner: 1.9%RedState: 2.5%Post Hoc (False Cause)12.5%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.9%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 1.2%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.4%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 12.8%Adam Turner: 2.7%RedState: 2.7%Anecdotal12.8%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.3%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 12.1%Adam Turner: 1.8%RedState: 1.6%Ambiguity (Equivocation)12.1%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.0%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.3%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 4.2%Adam Turner: 1.2%RedState: 0.3%Genetic Fallacy4.2%This article: 9.4%Adam Turner: 1.4%RedState: 2.5%Unattributed Quote9.4%This article: 3.4%Adam Turner: 1.2%RedState: 1.8%Quote-first Misdirection3.4%This article: 11.6%Adam Turner: 3.5%RedState: 22.1%Biased Writer Voice11.6%This article: 4.4%Adam Turner: 4.4%RedState: 4.8%Indoctrination4.4%This article: 0.0%Adam Turner: 0.0%RedState: 0.4%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 7.7%Adam Turner: 12.3%RedState: 15.9%Politically Right Leaning Bias7.7%This article: 5.1%Adam Turner: 4.0%RedState: 3.6%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…5.1%

1070 words analyzed.

Speakers

3speakers3.7%attributed speech1,030writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 7 words • 100.0% coveragePolitico • 11 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageMike Pence • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 28 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 42 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 37 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 8 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 37 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageSun Tzu • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 17 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 100.0% coverage
Selected voice

Mike Pence

100%flagged-word coverage
18 attributed words45% of attributed speech85% writer coverage
0%7.5%15.0%Biased Writer Voice-12.0 ptsWriter: 12.0%Mike Pence: 0.0%0.0%Unattributed Quote-8.7 ptsWriter: 8.7%Mike Pence: 0.0%0.0%Politically Right Leaning -8.0 ptsWriter: 8.0%Mike Pence: 0.0%0.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -5.3 ptsWriter: 5.3%Mike Pence: 0.0%0.0%Indoctrination-4.6 ptsWriter: 4.6%Mike Pence: 0.0%0.0%Quote-first Misdirection-2.4 ptsWriter: 2.4%Mike Pence: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.