NPR84%

Inflation surges to highest level in nearly 2 years as energy costs spike 9%

By Scott Horsley0%

4/10/2026, 1:07:21 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 15 faulty reasoning types, including Pessimism Bias, Availability Heuristic, and Recency Bias, with Post Hoc (False Cause) as the most egregious example at 20.7% saturation with 90 hits. Analysis detected 528 faulty-reasoning hits from 434 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 25.5% and a BS Rank of 9% (19,400 of 21,175 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 91.60% of the article peer group.

The U.S. war with Iran and the resulting spike in energy prices have pushed inflation to its highest level in nearly two years. 
A report from the Labor Department Friday showed consumer prices in March were up 3.3% from a year ago. 
That's the biggest annual increase since May of 2024. 
Prices jumped 0.9% between February and March, with higher gasoline prices accounting for nearly three-quarters of that increase. 
Gas prices have jumped by more than a dollar a gallon, on average, since the U.S. and Israel launched their attack on Iran. 
Pump prices have remained high this week, despite a tentative ceasefire. 
Higher jet fuel prices also contributed to a jump in the cost of airline tickets last month, although food prices were flat, as rising costs for restaurant meals offset a decline in grocery prices. 
Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called "core" inflation was 2.6% in March. 
Although inflation is nowhere near the four-decade high it reached in 2022, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, progress on stabilizing prices fizzled out last year, partly as a result of President Trump's tariffs. 
The wartime jump in energy prices has pushed inflation even higher. 
"We were making progress, making progress. 
Then we kind of stalled out and now it's been inching itself up the other way," Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee told the Detroit Economic Club this week. 
Goolsbee worries that the longer inflation stays above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, the greater the risk that high inflation becomes baked into the economy. 
But a survey from the New York Fed this week showed that even though people expect higher inflation in the short run, they still believe it will come down in the long run. 
Fed policymakers try not to overreact to a spike in gasoline prices, which are notorious for bouncing up and down. 
But core inflation has also been climbing, which is likely to make the central bank cautious about any quick cuts in interest rates. 
The Fed is also keeping a close eye on the job market, which showed some signs of life in March when employers added 178,000 jobs, after cutting workers the previous month. 
While employers have not been adding a lot of jobs, they've been reluctant to lay people off as well. 
"I think it's from uncertainty," Goolsbee said. 
"I think that's what happens when businesses are uncertain and they say we're just going to sit on our hands until we figure out, is the war going to be a temporary shock?" 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 7.6%Scott Horsley: 3.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.4%Confirmation Bias7.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 2.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.6%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 13.1%Scott Horsley: 3.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.8%Availability Heuristic13.1%This article: 7.1%Scott Horsley: 1.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Representativeness Heuristic7.1%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 1.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.8%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 1.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.4%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 7.6%Scott Horsley: 13.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 11.1%Framing Effect7.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 1.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.8%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 7.6%Scott Horsley: 3.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.4%Optimism Bias7.6%This article: 14.5%Scott Horsley: 2.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%Pessimism Bias14.5%This article: 2.5%Scott Horsley: 7.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 11.3%Negativity Bias2.5%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 7.6%Scott Horsley: 1.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Fundamental Attribution Error7.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.3%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 2.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.3%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 9.0%Scott Horsley: 1.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.7%Recency Bias9.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.5%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 1.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.2%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Straw Man0.0%This article: 7.6%Scott Horsley: 6.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 6.1%Appeal to Authority7.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 1.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.5%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 5.8%Scott Horsley: 0.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.3%Slippery Slope5.8%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 7.6%Scott Horsley: 3.6%Goats and Soda (NPR): 4.4%Hasty Generalization7.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.4%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.7%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 3.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 6.6%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.9%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 20.7%Scott Horsley: 8.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)20.7%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 3.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 2.8%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 1.6%Scott Horsley: 2.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.5%Ambiguity (Equivocation)1.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.0%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 1.6%Scott Horsley: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.1%Personal Incredulity1.6%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.1%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.5%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.3%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.9%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 4.9%Goats and Soda (NPR): 3.1%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.0%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 2.5%Goats and Soda (NPR): 1.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.7%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Scott Horsley: 0.2%Goats and Soda (NPR): 0.3%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

434 words analyzed.

Speakers

1speaker23%attributed speech333writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageAustan Goolsbee • 6 words • 0.0% coverageAustan Goolsbee • 30 words • 0.0% coverageAustan Goolsbee • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 31 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageAustan Goolsbee • 7 words • 0.0% coverageAustan Goolsbee • 33 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Austan Goolsbee

94%flagged-word coverage
101 attributed words100% of attributed speech69% writer coverage

No manipulation-pattern hits were found in this speaker's attributed words or the writer's voice.

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.