Hurricane Damage and Global Warming ^⁠8%

6/3/2009, 12:00:00 AM

Topics: Global Warming, Hurricane Damage, Societal Vulnerability, Public Policy Reform

Keywords: Cei Original Content, Environment Tech, Cei, Insurance

BS Summary: This article contains 25 faulty reasoning types, including False Dilemma, Post Hoc (False Cause), and Negativity Bias, with Overconfidence Bias as the most egregious example at 14.9% saturation with 34 hits. Analysis detected 327 faulty-reasoning hits from 228 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 23.8% and a BS Rank of ⁠8% (20,333 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 92.90% of the article peer group.

Confidence50%

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228 words

Climate experts and policy

makers have debated the existence of a potential link between global

warming and increased hurricane activity since the record-setting 2005

Atlantic hurricane season.

While claims that hurricanes are already

stronger due to climate change are highly controversial, research

demonstrates that increases in societal vulnerability to hurricanes—the

number of persons and amount of property in coastal areas—goes a long

way toward explaining the increases in hurricane losses over time.

This

paper focuses on hurricane damage projections, reviews them in detail,

and critiques the projections.

It details how existing public policies

have helped increase hurricane losses.

In its final section, the paper

recommends specific policies to reduce populations’ vulnerability to

hurricanes.

Existing public policies—including insurance

regulation, government-subsidized flood insurance, improper mitigation,

and faulty building code enforcement—contribute to unnecessarily risky

and inefficient development along coastal areas by shifting the cost of

hurricane damage ultimately onto third parties—mainly taxpayers.

Poor

policies lead to excessive vulnerability to hurricanes and would

exacerbate the cost of any increase in storm activity, whether due to

climate change or any other factor.

Insurance subsidies and mitigation

may not be normally considered part of the climate change debate, but

within that debate reform of these policies now will constitute a “no

regrets” strategy.

In other words, reforms will yield benefits in all

circumstances—especially if adverse climate change does occur.

228 words analyzed.

Speakers

No attributed speakers were identified in this analysis.

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Analysis

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Hurricane Damage and Global Warming ^⁠8%

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Hurricane Damage and Global Warming ⁠8%

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Hurricane Damage and Global Warming ^⁠8%