KQED61%

SFO Will Begin Nonstop Flights for Japan Skiing This Winter. What Could It Mean for Tahoe? 73%

By Sarah Wright40%

5/22/2026, 11:50:09 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 35 faulty reasoning types, including Anecdotal, Self-Serving Bias, and Hasty Generalization, with Optimism Bias as the most egregious example at 15.5% saturation with 255 hits. Analysis detected 2,667 faulty-reasoning hits from 1,643 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 64.7% and a BS Rank of 73% (6,105 of 21,887 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 72.10% of the article peer group.

This winter, San Francisco International Airport will begin offering nonstop flights to Sapporo, the capital city of Hokkaido in Japan, which is also a prime skiing destination  with the new route running three times a week. 
These direct United Airlines flights to Japan’s northernmost island are part of the airline’s move to offer more flights nationwide to Sapporo during the winter. 
Currently, travelers wanting to reach the city’s ski resorts typically fly into Tokyo first before making their way north by air or train. 
The flights may make what is already an increasingly popular winter ski destination even more attractive. 
They’ve also been announced at a time when many Bay Area skiers are already making plans for this coming winter by mulling which, if any, annual ski passes to buy. 
Winter sports enthusiasts have long complained that in many instances, it’s cheaper to fly abroad to ski than to take a trip to American resorts. 
Still, these SFO-Sapporo flights  which last 11 hours each way  are not exactly cheap. 
Right now, they’re listed at around $1,500 for a January 2027 round trip. 
But once in Japan, the skiing, accommodations, rentals and other daily costs are much lower than in most other ski destinations. 
So much so that U.S. travelers already mulling an international vacation this winter might just consider bringing along their skis and making a trip out of it, said Christine Savage, co-founder of Beyond the Boundaries, a women-oriented snowboard camp and tour company. 
“If Japan isn’t on your bucket list, it’s just because you haven’t looked into it enough yet,” Savage said. 
Savage said she’s excited to hear about the new flights  both for herself and for the tour groups she leads to Sapporo every winter. 
Not only does she hope more frequent, direct flights will mean easier access to Hokkaido and “more simplified, more smooth” travel  with the nonstop route potentially reducing headaches like delays and lost luggage  there are major bonuses to going all the way to Sapporo to ski, Savage said. 
Why U.S. skiers might choose Japan 
For one, the snow is fantastic in Japan  something to which this author can attest. 
During my own winter ski trip to Rusutsu in January, courtesy of a $500 round trip budget flight on ZIPAIR, it snowed more than a foot each day I was on the mountain. 
While “nowhere is guaranteed” to have snow, and Savage said she’s had “lackluster” snow years even in Japan, the city of Sapporo itself gets around 13 feet of snow each year, with higher-elevation mountains nearby getting closer to 40 feet per year. 
That’s compared to Tahoe’s average annual snowfall of around 30 feet at its resorts  and the fact that particularly dismal snow seasons, like this year’s, are not uncommon here. 
“In general, Japan tends to be fairly reliable,” Savage said. 
“The snow quality is incredible. 
I feel really grateful to get to ride it.” 
Then there’s the lower cost of skiing in Japan. 
Day rates for lift tickets at major resorts like Niseko and Rusutsu can be extremely low  rates around $50 per day  as opposed to hundreds of dollars for walk-up tickets at major U.S. resorts. 
Gear rentals, too, can be hundreds of dollars lower in Japan than in Tahoe or other U.S. ski destinations. 
This broad difference in price has held true despite price increases across Japanese resorts in the last couple of years, as the country tries to mitigate overtourism. 
Savage said she expects to see prices continue to rise for people traveling into Japan from abroad to ski (some ski resorts, like Niseko, offer discounts for area residents). 
For San Ramon resident Scott Yin, skiing in Japan is a way to get more bang for his buck. 
He started skiing when he was living in China in 2021, and said that compared to a ski vacation in Tahoe, the experience of skiing in Japan is as good, if not better, and sometimes around half the price. 
For one thing, he noted the range of resorts and ski towns in Sapporo, meaning fewer crowds, lots of family-friendly options and less of a need to book far in advance. 
Yin has found that Sapporo lift lines are shorter, parking is easier and the food  particularly the affordable prices and high quality  is a big draw. 
Yin doesn’t have an Ikon or Epic Pass, so it’s cheapest for him to get lift tickets directly from the resorts and hotels he stays at for individual trips. 
“Tahoe is kind of the go-to, but we didn’t go this season because it was so expensive and there was no good date for us,” he said. 
“Compared to Sapporo, where there’s way more choice.” 
What could this mean for Tahoe? 
The announcement of United’s direct Sapporo flights comes at a time when the cost of skiing in Tahoe has reached an all-time high. 
That’s sent many people in the Bay Area looking for cheaper alternatives, like smaller, local mountains or independent pass options. 
But it’s also driving some to head abroad for their ski trips. 
Tim Pham founded SnowPals, a platform that connects Bay Area skiers and snow enthusiasts who want to share rides, ski leases or days out on the mountain  and his forum’s community was abuzz at the news of the direct SFO-Sapporo flights, he said. 
“People are very excited, and they’re looking to do it,” he said. 
“Especially if the snow is lacking [in Tahoe].” 
Pham chalked the excitement up mostly to these conditions: This year’s poor snow in Tahoe was a real disappointment, he said. 
What’s more, many are worried next year might bring a “Super El Niño”: repeating warm, wet conditions that don’t bode well for mountain sports. 
“But what can you do, right? 
Now there’s an option where you can hop on a plane, and you can be skiing dry powder in Japan,” he said. 
For some of the higher-income skiers in the Bay Area, that direct flight will feel worth the high price, Pham said. 
Especially since there’s even a red-eye option that can see a traveler get onto the mountain straightaway the next day, in time for a half-day of skiing. 
And it’s not just Japan, Pham said  he’s also seeing international travel to ski destinations like Chile and Europe rising in popularity among online communities like his. 
But while some people might outright replace their once-yearly Tahoe trip with a ski vacation abroad, Pham said, the entry-level costs inherent in skiing and snowboarding mean that there’ll always be others who’ll just do both. 
“It’s an expensive sport. 
It’s not cheap,” he said. 
“So if people have the means, they are always planning trips.” 
And even as day rates and Tahoe pass prices continue to climb, Pham doubts the rise in international skiing will dent annual pass sales, either. 
Both the Ikon and Epic Passes have destinations in Sapporo and all over the world. 
There are, in fact, two destinations on the Epic Pass in Japan  Hakuba Valley, a few hours by train from Tokyo, and Rusutsu Resort, just two hours from Sapporo  which allows passholders a total of 10 days of skiing in Japan each season. 
“With Sapporo serving as a major gateway to Rusutsu, expanded flight options from SFO to Sapporo make access even more seamless,” Carly Mangan, spokesperson for Vail Resorts, told KQED. 
Heavenly, Northstar and Kirkwood resorts in Tahoe are all operated by Vail. 
For Savage, an Ikon Pass holder, it’s a major selling point of the pass itself. 
“It makes my Ikon Pass more worthwhile having those Japan days that I know I’ll use,” she said. 
That’s exactly the marketing message being promoted by Alterra Mountain Company, which sells the Ikon Pass and has nine partner resorts in the country, Ikon spokesperson Kristin Rust said. 
“The Ikon Pass is mostly rooted in aspiration,” she said. 
“We look at our destinations at really the tipping point of why you would choose Ikon Pass.” 
United’s upcoming SFO-Sapporo flights are “a huge adjacent perk for us,” she said. 
“The more access and the easier access, the more skiers are going to get on a plane and go.” 
As for whether or not skiers might see international destinations as equally expensive  or even cheaper  alternatives, it’s all about the trade-offs, Rust said. 
“It all depends on what you want in a trip,” she said. 
“You gotta look at exchange rates, you gotta look at fuel rates when it comes to driving or flying. 
“But oftentimes that can be the case  and so why not go explore the culture of Japan?” 
Rust said. 
Still, not everyone is convinced it’s really worth it to go all the way to Japan just to ski  including Yin. 
Even if he does travel all the way to Japan just to ski, he said, he isn’t likely to shell out to fly direct even with the new United routes. 
“I’m not going to spend that much money just for the flight ticket,” Yin said. 
Given local airports like SFO already offer direct flights to Tokyo, “I’d rather just fly to Tokyo or anywhere that’s cheaper.” 
Sapporo’s increasing popularity, he said, may have more to do with the rising popularity of Japan as a tourist destination in general. 
And more likely, many people already planning a multi-week international vacation may find it worthwhile to tack on some skiing while they’re there. 
Savage and her tour clients have the same mentality, she said. 
“I think for a lot of folks, it’s easy to be like, ‘Well, if I’m already spending this extreme amount of money, why not spend it and go see somewhere I’ve never been?’” 
Savage said. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 2.7%Sarah Wright: 0.7%CalMatters: 1.9%Confirmation Bias2.7%This article: 6.4%Sarah Wright: 0.8%CalMatters: 0.9%Anchoring Bias6.4%This article: 9.1%Sarah Wright: 2.7%CalMatters: 3.0%Availability Heuristic9.1%This article: 5.4%Sarah Wright: 0.8%CalMatters: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic5.4%This article: 1.2%Sarah Wright: 0.1%CalMatters: 0.5%Hindsight Bias1.2%This article: 8.9%Sarah Wright: 1.7%CalMatters: 1.2%Overconfidence Bias8.9%This article: 4.6%Sarah Wright: 3.6%CalMatters: 6.3%Framing Effect4.6%This article: 2.9%Sarah Wright: 1.3%CalMatters: 1.0%Loss Aversion2.9%This article: 2.6%Sarah Wright: 0.4%CalMatters: 0.7%Status Quo Bias2.6%This article: 2.0%Sarah Wright: 0.2%CalMatters: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect2.0%This article: 15.5%Sarah Wright: 4.9%CalMatters: 3.5%Optimism Bias15.5%This article: 1.5%Sarah Wright: 1.0%CalMatters: 1.4%Pessimism Bias1.5%This article: 8.0%Sarah Wright: 2.6%CalMatters: 6.4%Negativity Bias8.0%This article: 14.5%Sarah Wright: 1.4%CalMatters: 1.7%Self-Serving Bias14.5%This article: 1.3%Sarah Wright: 0.2%CalMatters: 0.7%Fundamental Attribution Error1.3%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.1%CalMatters: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 3.3%Sarah Wright: 0.4%CalMatters: 1.7%In-Group Bias3.3%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.4%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 2.9%Sarah Wright: 3.1%CalMatters: 2.7%Halo Effect2.9%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 1.7%Sarah Wright: 0.7%CalMatters: 0.9%Recency Bias1.7%This article: 2.0%Sarah Wright: 0.2%CalMatters: 0.3%Primacy Effect2.0%This article: 0.7%Sarah Wright: 0.1%CalMatters: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.7%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.6%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.1%CalMatters: 0.2%Straw Man0.0%This article: 2.8%Sarah Wright: 3.0%CalMatters: 3.1%Appeal to Authority2.8%This article: 2.6%Sarah Wright: 1.0%CalMatters: 1.1%False Dilemma2.6%This article: 2.2%Sarah Wright: 0.3%CalMatters: 0.8%Slippery Slope2.2%This article: 1.2%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Circular Reasoning1.2%This article: 11.9%Sarah Wright: 2.9%CalMatters: 3.6%Hasty Generalization11.9%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.2%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.7%Sarah Wright: 0.2%CalMatters: 0.7%Bandwagon0.7%This article: 1.6%Sarah Wright: 1.5%CalMatters: 5.3%Appeal to Emotion1.6%This article: 4.8%Sarah Wright: 0.2%CalMatters: 0.6%Begging the Question4.8%This article: 7.8%Sarah Wright: 1.0%CalMatters: 2.0%Post Hoc (False Cause)7.8%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.3%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.4%CalMatters: 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 3.5%Sarah Wright: 0.3%CalMatters: 0.2%Composition/Division3.5%This article: 15.0%Sarah Wright: 3.6%CalMatters: 3.1%Anecdotal15.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 5.6%Sarah Wright: 0.9%CalMatters: 1.2%Ambiguity (Equivocation)5.6%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 1.6%Sarah Wright: 0.1%CalMatters: 0.1%Middle Ground1.6%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.3%CalMatters: 0.8%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.1%CalMatters: 0.7%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 1.0%Sarah Wright: 1.8%CalMatters: 3.1%Biased Writer Voice1.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 7.8%CalMatters: 1.9%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.5%CalMatters: 1.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Sarah Wright: 0.0%CalMatters: 0.1%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 2.7%Sarah Wright: 5.2%CalMatters: 1.2%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…2.7%

1643 words analyzed.

Speakers

5speakers58%attributed speech694writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 10 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 37 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 13 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 42 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 19 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 25 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 50 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 42 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 10 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 5 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 36 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 39 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 31 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 28 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 29 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 27 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 8 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 44 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 12 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 8 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 21 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 6 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 22 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 21 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 27 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 28 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 36 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 4 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 5 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 11 words • 0.0% coverageTim Pham • 25 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 45 words • 0.0% coverageCarly Mangan • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 100.0% coverageChristine Savage • 18 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 29 words • 100.0% coverageKristin Rust • 10 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 17 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 13 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 12 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 19 words • 0.0% coverageKristin Rust • 18 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 22 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 30 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 15 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 21 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 22 words • 0.0% coverageScott Yin • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageChristine Savage • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Christine Savage

100%flagged-word coverage
240 attributed words25% of attributed speech79% writer coverage
0%2.5%5.0%Biased Writer Voice-2.3 ptsWriter: 2.3%Christine Savage: 0.0%0.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -2.2 ptsWriter: 2.2%Christine Savage: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

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