grist.org28%

Another super typhoon just pummeled the Pacific 31%

By Anita Hofschneider31%

7/8/2026, 8:30:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 26 faulty reasoning types, including Anecdotal, Appeal to Authority, and Post Hoc (False Cause), with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 28.5% saturation with 274 hits. Analysis detected 1,980 faulty-reasoning hits from 962 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 40.6% and a BS Rank of 31% (15,111 of 21,886 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 69.00% of the article peer group.

When a 150-mph cyclone hit the Mariana Islands in mid-April, federal officials handed out more than 1,400 tents and 1,100 temporary roofs to help families with damaged or destroyed homes. 
Last week, local officials urged residents to take the tents down and find safer shelter as another super typhoon approached. 
“Those tents are not rated to withstand anything stronger than a weak tropical storm,” Miguel Dandan, a public information officer for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, told NMI News Service . 
Days later, Super Typhoon Bavi hit the island of Rota with 180 mph winds; the neighboring islands of Guam and Saipan saw winds over 100 mph . 
“Our washer flew, our dryer, even our freezers flew. 
Everything, even the trees in the back broke down and fell on our cars,” Rota resident Peter James Meskin told the Marianas Press. 
It’s the second massive typhoon to pummel the Marianas in less than three months, and the archipelago is only a week into its typical typhoon season. 
The islands are home to Indigenous Chamorro and Carolinian peoples who are accustomed to frequent storms, but scientists say climate change is making them more intense. 
It’s part of a broader pattern of Indigenous Pacific peoples bearing the brunt of climate impacts while contributing relatively little to the burning of fossil fuels that cause the atmosphere to warm. 
Kristina Dahl, a climate scientist who leads the science division at the nonprofit Climate Central , said abnormally hot ocean waters due to that warming atmosphere intensified both Bavi and Sinlaku, another super typhoon that struck Chuuk with 185 mph winds then weakened to 150 before hitting the Marianas on April 14. 
“In both of these cases we can see the fingerprint of climate change on the storms and that has really devastating consequences for the people who are repeatedly in their paths,” she said. 
Federal emergency officials were still processing disaster aid applications for Sinlaku when Bavi hit on Monday, and many families were still without power. 
A June 26 update from the commonwealth government estimated 29 percent of utility customers  more than 4,000  lacked electricity more than two months after the April storm. 
Zeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr., an Indigenous Chamorro resident of northern Saipan, considered himself lucky that his outage lasted only a little over a month after Sinlaku. 
But now his family is out of water and power again. 
Deleon Guerrero had been in Japan on a work trip when Sinlaku hit and was shocked to see the islandwide destruction on Saipan when he returned. 
“We were all just jaw-dropped flying in from Guam, being able to just see the whole south to north landscape, and it was just brown, dry and toasted bare,” he said. 
“We got the house cleaned up to a standard where it was livable but to where things were actually clean it was impossible because there was just a lack of running water.” 
He saw his neighbors lining up as early as 3 a.m. to buy water. 
Bavi didn’t hit his village as hard as Sinlaku did, but he still spent the storm mopping up water coming in through the windows. 
“It was honestly really chilling and terrifying to hear the rattling of the windows and just wondering, is it going to cave in or burst in at any moment?” 
The island of Rota, also known as Luta, had a direct hit from the 180-mph storm. 
Courtesy of Marianas Press 
Deleon Guerrero’s experience might be repeated yet again before the year ends. 
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration estimated last month that U.S.-affiliated Pacific island nations and territories would experience more frequent tropical cyclones due to El Niño, a weather pattern that shifts warm waters in the Pacific Ocean east toward South America. 
Chuuk is expected to see four to six cyclones this year, with Saipan and Guam potentially experiencing as many as seven tropical storms and typhoons. 
Dahl noted that while El Niño may be fostering the formation of those storms, climate change is making them more intense. 
“Our data shows that the temperatures that (Bavi) is encountering along its path are 10 to 40 times more likely to be as hot as they are because of climate change,” she said. 
The fact that storms are growing more intense has major implications for Pacific peoples’ homes, health, economies, and lives. 
There are no confirmed deaths from Bavi so far, but Sinlaku was the deadliest storm to strike the Micronesian region in more than two decades, with the death toll reaching 17 across the Federated States of Micronesia, Guam and the Northern Marianas. 
Deleon Guerrero, who works as solidarity director at the nonprofit Right to Democracy that advocates on behalf of U.S. territories, said the commonwealth’s inability to meaningfully participate in the federal government  including its lack of a vote in Congress or for president  makes it hard for the community to have any say in critical moments like this, when the commonwealth relies so heavily on federal disaster response. 
The day after Bavi swept through the Marianas, Deleon Guerrero woke up to another landscape of destruction, with his neighbors’ temporary roofing installed post-Sinlaku now part of typhoon debris. 
“We understand that it was meant to be temporary but it just goes to show that in this region, especially with the climate changing the way that it is, these temporary fixes aren’t cutting it,” he said. 
“A lot of people are just back to square one when some people thought we were making some meaningful progress.” 
Grist reporter Joseph Lee contributed to this story . 
This story was originally published by Grist with the headline Another super typhoon just pummeled the Pacific on Jul 8, 2026. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 3.8%Anita Hofschneider: 2.1%Grist: 2.2%Confirmation Bias3.8%This article: 7.3%Anita Hofschneider: 0.8%Grist: 0.8%Anchoring Bias7.3%This article: 11.1%Anita Hofschneider: 3.3%Grist: 3.0%Availability Heuristic11.1%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.3%Grist: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 1.2%Anita Hofschneider: 0.2%Grist: 0.5%Hindsight Bias1.2%This article: 3.4%Anita Hofschneider: 0.5%Grist: 1.3%Overconfidence Bias3.4%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 5.2%Grist: 5.0%Framing Effect0.0%This article: 1.1%Anita Hofschneider: 0.6%Grist: 0.7%Loss Aversion1.1%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.6%Grist: 0.5%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 3.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.3%Grist: 0.3%Sunk Cost Effect3.0%This article: 2.8%Anita Hofschneider: 1.4%Grist: 3.1%Optimism Bias2.8%This article: 8.1%Anita Hofschneider: 2.7%Grist: 2.0%Pessimism Bias8.1%This article: 28.5%Anita Hofschneider: 7.8%Grist: 6.8%Negativity Bias28.5%This article: 7.2%Anita Hofschneider: 1.1%Grist: 1.0%Self-Serving Bias7.2%This article: 7.2%Anita Hofschneider: 0.6%Grist: 0.6%Fundamental Attribution Error7.2%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.1%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 2.7%Anita Hofschneider: 1.9%Grist: 0.8%In-Group Bias2.7%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.2%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.4%Grist: 1.0%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 4.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.9%Grist: 1.2%Recency Bias4.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.1%Grist: 0.3%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.3%Grist: 0.3%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.1%Straw Man0.0%This article: 21.4%Anita Hofschneider: 5.0%Grist: 4.1%Appeal to Authority21.4%This article: 2.2%Anita Hofschneider: 1.8%Grist: 1.4%False Dilemma2.2%This article: 5.1%Anita Hofschneider: 1.6%Grist: 0.9%Slippery Slope5.1%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.1%Grist: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 11.0%Anita Hofschneider: 4.6%Grist: 3.9%Hasty Generalization11.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.7%Grist: 0.6%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 9.7%Anita Hofschneider: 7.2%Grist: 4.0%Appeal to Emotion9.7%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.7%Grist: 0.7%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 19.9%Anita Hofschneider: 2.5%Grist: 3.1%Post Hoc (False Cause)19.9%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.5%Grist: 0.3%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.7%Grist: 0.3%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 5.3%Anita Hofschneider: 0.7%Grist: 0.3%Composition/Division5.3%This article: 24.6%Anita Hofschneider: 3.1%Grist: 2.0%Anecdotal24.6%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.8%Grist: 1.7%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.1%Grist: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.2%Grist: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.0%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.9%Anita Hofschneider: 0.6%Grist: 0.8%Unattributed Quote0.9%This article: 4.4%Anita Hofschneider: 0.9%Grist: 1.0%Quote-first Misdirection4.4%This article: 2.7%Anita Hofschneider: 1.6%Grist: 2.5%Biased Writer Voice2.7%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.7%Grist: 1.4%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 7.2%Anita Hofschneider: 2.0%Grist: 1.0%Politically Left Leaning Bias7.2%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.0%Grist: 0.1%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Anita Hofschneider: 0.1%Grist: 0.7%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

962 words analyzed.

Speakers

6speakers49%attributed speech490writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 7 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageMiguel Dandan • 33 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 100.0% coveragePeter James Meskin • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 32 words • 0.0% coverageKristina Dahl • 52 words • 0.0% coverageKristina Dahl • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 27 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 31 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 32 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 24 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 29 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageMarianas Press • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 12 words • 0.0% coverageNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration • 41 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageKristina Dahl • 21 words • 0.0% coverageKristina Dahl • 33 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 42 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 69 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 29 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 37 words • 0.0% coverageZeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr. • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 9 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 21 words • 0.0% coverage
100%flagged-word coverage
232 attributed words49% of attributed speech74% writer coverage
0%15.0%30.0%Politically Left Leaning B+29.7 ptsWriter: 0.0%Zeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr.: 29.7%29.7%Biased Writer Voice-5.3 ptsWriter: 5.3%Zeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr.: 0.0%0.0%Unattributed Quote-1.8 ptsWriter: 1.8%Zeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr.: 0.0%0.0%Quote-first Misdirection-1.8 ptsWriter: 1.8%Zeno Camacho Deleon Guerrero Jr.: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.