Defense Outlook: A CSIS Series on Strategy 16%

By Drupal Admin0%

1/15/2016, 12:33:17 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 8 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Optimism Bias, and Overconfidence Bias, with Halo Effect as the most egregious example at 26.3% saturation with 146 hits. Analysis detected 499 faulty-reasoning hits from 555 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 31.7% and a BS Rank of 16% (18,537 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 84.70% of the article peer group.

Defense Outlook: A CSIS Series on Strategy, Budget, Forces, and Acquisition 
Listing Summary 
In January of 2016, CSIS launched a new International Security Program initiative examining the dynamics and interlinkages of strategy, budget, forces, and acquisition on the current and future state of the U.S. 
Armed Forces. 
Drupal Admin 
Fri, 01/15/2016 - 15:33 
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John J. 
Hamre 
Todd Harrison 
Mark F. 
Cancian 
Andrew Philip Hunter 
Kathleen H. 
Hicks 
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Defense Acquisition Trends, 2015 
Document 
Defense Acquisition Trends, 2015.pdf 
Defense Modernization Plans through the 2020s 
Document 
Defense Modernization Plans through the 2020s.pdf 
Defense Outlook 2016 
Document 
Defense Outlook 2016.pdf 
Programs & Projects 
International Security Program 
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Former Programs 
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Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images 
Listing Summary 
The CSIS International Security Program (ISP) is a constant source of reliable analysis on the international security and defense landscape, particularly with growing competition between the United States and such countries as China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea 
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Defense 360 
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Defense and Security 
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Photo credit: U.S. 
Navy from https://www.flickr.com/photos/usnavy/36162973322/in/photostream/ 
Listing Summary 
Defense 360 is your one-stop shop for all things CSIS defense analysis - defense360.csis.org 
Defense Budget Analysis 
Parent 
Defense and Security 
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GettyImages-2186280635_Crop1.jpg 
Listing Summary 
The Defense Budget Analysis Program leads the Center’s efforts to provide in-depth, nonpartisan research and analysis of defense funding issues 
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Staff and Affiliates 
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Defense Futures Simulator 
Center for the Industrial Base 
Parent 
Defense and Security 
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Listing Summary 
Reimagining government-industry collaboration to foster innovation, build capacity, and achieve victory. 
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About 
Focus Areas 
The Future of Land Power 
Analysis 
Events 
All About the Base 
Shipbuilding 
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Industry-Government Collaboration 
Parent 
Focus Areas 
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Listing Summary 
Engaging in dialogue with government officials and industry partners as well as through focused research, CIB explores this critical partnership and its effect on important national security topics 
Impact of Budget Constraints 
Parent 
Center for the Industrial Base 
Featured Image 
Photo: SC Fiasco from https://www.flickr.com/photos/30352125@N00/2994921185 
Listing Summary 
Leveraging data and acquisition expertise, DIIG analyzes the effects of the defense drawdown on the defense industrial base 
DoD and Federal Industrial Base Challenges 
Parent 
Focus Areas 
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251230_CIB_DoD.JPG 
Listing Summary 
CIB convenes experts and policy makers to discuss the workings of the federal acquisition system and industrial base challenges and conducts research to explore potential reforms 
Government Contracting Trends 
Parent 
Focus Areas 
Featured Image 
GettyImages-1434610269_cropped.jpg 
Listing Summary 
Understanding how evolving contracting practices shape innovation and industrial competitiveness, CIB fosters dialogue on how acquisition and procurement mechanisms can better support national security 
Defense and Security 
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Listing Summary 
The CSIS Defense and Security Department tackles the most complex issues shaping the global security landscape. 
Amid a rapid shift in the global balance of power, our research offers practical solutions to the hardest national security strategy questions—from the state of U.S. readiness to the role of emerging tech in defense, and beyond. 
We get national security, and we aim to make it stronger. 
Topics 
Defense and Security 
Defense Budget and Acquisition 
Defense Industry, Acquisition, and Innovation 
Defense Strategy and Capabilities 
Event Dates 
Wed, 01/27/2016 - 20:00 
- Wed, 01/27/2016 - 22:00 
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Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 2.0%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.1%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 2.8%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.2%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.5%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 8.6%Drupal Admin: 3.9%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 2.7%Overconfidence Bias8.6%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 1.7%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 4.3%Framing Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.6%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 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Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 26.3%Drupal Admin: 12.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.9%Halo Effect26.3%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.1%Recency Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.2%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.1%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.2%Straw Man0.0%This article: 20.0%Drupal Admin: 7.6%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 4.5%Appeal to Authority20.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 2.5%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.0%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 4.4%Hasty Generalization0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.0%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.4%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 2.6%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.8%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.6%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 2.8%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.5%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.0%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 1.7%Ambiguity (Equivocation)0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International Studies: 0.3%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Drupal Admin: 0.0%Center for Strategic and International 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International Studies: 1.5%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…2.5%

555 words analyzed.

Speakers

No attributed speakers were identified in this analysis.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.