Rain hits Southern California this week. When will it fall? 14%

By Rong-Gong Lin II48%

4/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 12 faulty reasoning types, including Negativity Bias, Recency Bias, and Optimism Bias, with Overconfidence Bias as the most egregious example at 25.1% saturation with 80 hits. Analysis detected 318 faulty-reasoning hits from 319 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 30.3% and a BS Rank of 14% (17,839 of 20,517 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 86.90% of the article peer group.

Rain is expected to hit Southern California this week, enough to create slippery conditions for the Tuesday afternoon commute in Los Angeles County. 
In Los Angeles and Ventura counties, rainfall should peak between 11 a.m. to 8 p.m. 
Tuesday, the National Weather Service office in Oxnard said. 
Rainfall is expected to be light in L.A. and Ventura counties. 
Thousand Oaks and Santa Clarita could get about one-fifth of an inch of rain; downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport, one-tenth of an inch; and Long Beach, one-twentieth. 
There's only a small chance of measurable rain for Orange County, the Inland Empire and the San Diego County coast. 
More rain is expected farther north. 
Rain is expected to start falling as early as Monday night in Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties, and peak Tuesday morning through the evening. 
Santa Barbara is expected to get half an inch and San Luis Obispo nearly 1 inch. 
Gusty winds are expected along the mountains and deserts of Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties  enough to down tree limbs and trees and make driving high-profile vehicles difficult. 
More substantial rain is expected in the San Francisco Bay Area. 
The main part of the storm is expected to push through the Bay Area later Monday into Tuesday morning. 
San Francisco, Santa Rosa, Santa Cruz, Monterey and Napa are expected to get 1 to 1.5 inches of rain and San Jose and Livermore half an inch to 1 inch from Monday through Wednesday. 
"This should be mostly beneficial across the region, but some minor nuisance flooding is possible in urban and poor drainage areas if heavy rain showers or thunderstorms develop," the weather service office in Monterey said. 
The storm is expected to snarl roads into the Sierra Nevada, and require motorists to put chains on their tires. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.6%Daily Pilot: 2.9%Confirmation Bias0.0%This article: 1.9%Rong-Gong Lin II: 2.8%Daily Pilot: 1.3%Anchoring Bias1.9%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 6.4%Daily Pilot: 3.5%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.7%Daily Pilot: 1.0%Representativeness Heuristic0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.8%Daily Pilot: 0.9%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 25.1%Rong-Gong Lin II: 2.2%Daily Pilot: 1.9%Overconfidence Bias25.1%This article: 1.3%Rong-Gong Lin II: 3.0%Daily Pilot: 7.5%Framing Effect1.3%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.5%Daily Pilot: 0.9%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.5%Daily Pilot: 0.9%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 0.2%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 11.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.6%Daily Pilot: 3.6%Optimism Bias11.0%This article: 6.3%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.5%Daily Pilot: 1.4%Pessimism Bias6.3%This article: 16.9%Rong-Gong Lin II: 9.9%Daily Pilot: 7.8%Negativity Bias16.9%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.9%Daily Pilot: 2.2%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.2%Daily Pilot: 0.9%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 1.7%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 0.6%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.6%Daily Pilot: 5.1%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.3%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 14.1%Rong-Gong Lin II: 2.5%Daily Pilot: 1.3%Recency Bias14.1%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.4%Daily Pilot: 0.4%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 0.1%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.5%Daily Pilot: 0.9%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.3%Straw Man0.0%This article: 2.8%Rong-Gong Lin II: 5.0%Daily Pilot: 5.0%Appeal to Authority2.8%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.0%Daily Pilot: 1.2%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.3%Daily Pilot: 0.7%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.6%Daily Pilot: 4.4%Hasty Generalization0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 0.3%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.8%Daily Pilot: 1.0%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 4.5%Daily Pilot: 5.7%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.2%Daily Pilot: 0.7%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 1.9%Rong-Gong Lin II: 3.0%Daily Pilot: 2.6%Post Hoc (False Cause)1.9%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.3%Daily Pilot: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.3%Daily Pilot: 0.2%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.2%Daily Pilot: 0.3%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.5%Daily Pilot: 2.8%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 4.7%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.4%Daily Pilot: 1.6%Ambiguity (Equivocation)4.7%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.1%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.2%Daily Pilot: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.3%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 2.8%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.2%Daily Pilot: 1.2%Unattributed Quote2.8%This article: 11.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.9%Daily Pilot: 0.8%Quote-first Misdirection11.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 2.6%Daily Pilot: 6.0%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 1.7%Daily Pilot: 1.5%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.9%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.0%Daily Pilot: 0.3%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Rong-Gong Lin II: 0.1%Daily Pilot: 4.0%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…0.0%

319 words analyzed.

Speakers

2speakers14%attributed speech275writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 4 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 23 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 15 words • 0.0% coverageNational Weather Service office in Oxnard • 9 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 19 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 0.0% coverageweather service office in Monterey • 35 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverage
100%flagged-word coverage
35 attributed words80% of attributed speech84% writer coverage
0%50.0%100.0%Quote-first Misdirection+100.0 ptsWriter: 0.0%weather service office in Monterey: 100.0%100.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.