Trump’s Supreme Court mulligan ‘exceedingly unlikely 10%

By Lauren Morganbesser0%

7/9/2026, 2:01:58 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 17 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Framing Effect, and Hasty Generalization, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 38.8% saturation with 162 hits. Analysis detected 912 faulty-reasoning hits from 417 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 27% and a BS Rank of 10% (19,720 of 21,887 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 90.10% of the article peer group.

The News 
President Donald Trump is asking the Supreme Court to reconsider two recent defeats  requests the court grants, at most, “once in a blue moon,” according to one legal expert. 
Trump announced on Wednesday that he would seek a rehearing “IMMEDIATELY” of the court’s birthright citizenship decision . 
Separately, his lawyers have asked the justices to reconsider his appeal of the $5 million judgment awarded to writer E. 
Jean Carroll after they declined to hear the case last month. 
T 
he Supreme Court allows losing parties to seek a rehearing, though it rarely grants such petitions. 
“I’d be pretty shocked if either of these requests succeed, especially the birthright citizenship one,” Stephen Vladeck, a professor at Georgetown University Law Center, told Semafor, noting that the last time the Supreme Court granted a rehearing on an argued case was in 1965. 
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Aaron-Andrew P. 
Bruhl, a professor at William & Mary Law School, similarly said the birthright citizenship petition faces “close to zero” odds. 
“After the parties’ briefs, the amicus briefs, oral argument, deliberations, and the exchange of opinions, such a change of heart is exceedingly unlikely,” Bruhl told Semafor. 
Trump filed petitions for rehearing in two cases, but they face different procedural hurdles. 
The birthright citizenship decision was decided on merits after full oral arguments, while the Carroll petition asks the court to reconsider its decision to not hear the case, known as a denial of certiorari. 
That distinction matters, Vladeck said. 
Rehearing requests relating to denials of certiorari are “granted once in a blue moon,” but rehearing after a full merit decision is essentially unheard of. 
“In both contexts, someone in the majority has to have changed their mind. 
That can happen with certiorari if, for example, there was some intervening development. 
But it’s rare there, and unheard of on the merits,” Vladeck added. 
Trump’s lawyers argue rehearing is warranted in the Carroll case because they intend to file a separate appeal raising presidential immunity issues in related litigation. 
But Vladeck said even that argument faces long odds. 
“It’s not unheard of for a litigant to seek rehearing,” he said. 
“But there’s a pretty big gap between asking for it and getting it.” 
Fred Smith, a Stanford Law professor, agreed, saying that while filing a petition is not unusual, what stands out in this case is “a litigant, let alone a sitting president, publicly announcing a rehearing campaign as though it were a viable path to reversal.” 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 1.2%Lauren Morganbesser: 2.1%Semafor: 4.7%Confirmation Bias1.2%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 3.5%Semafor: 1.6%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 17.7%Lauren Morganbesser: 1.8%Semafor: 5.5%Availability Heuristic17.7%This article: 6.2%Lauren Morganbesser: 1.1%Semafor: 1.4%Representativeness Heuristic6.2%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 1.1%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 4.8%Lauren Morganbesser: 2.1%Semafor: 2.3%Overconfidence Bias4.8%This article: 21.3%Lauren Morganbesser: 21.0%Semafor: 15.9%Framing Effect21.3%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.8%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.8%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.5%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 1.1%Semafor: 4.9%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 17.5%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.6%Semafor: 4.0%Pessimism Bias17.5%This article: 38.8%Lauren Morganbesser: 9.1%Semafor: 12.8%Negativity Bias38.8%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 1.3%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.9%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 10.6%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Actor-Observer Bias10.6%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 1.2%Semafor: 1.6%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 3.5%Semafor: 0.9%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 2.1%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.2%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 7.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.8%Semafor: 3.3%Recency Bias7.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.7%Semafor: 0.7%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.5%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.4%Straw Man0.0%This article: 36.5%Lauren Morganbesser: 8.6%Semafor: 7.0%Appeal to Authority36.5%This article: 8.2%Lauren Morganbesser: 4.4%Semafor: 2.5%False Dilemma8.2%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 2.2%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 19.4%Lauren Morganbesser: 6.7%Semafor: 8.3%Hasty Generalization19.4%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.3%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 1.1%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 1.8%Semafor: 6.3%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 6.2%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 1.2%Begging the Question6.2%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 4.9%Semafor: 4.9%Post Hoc (False Cause)0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.6%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 2.0%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.1%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 10.8%Lauren Morganbesser: 3.3%Semafor: 2.6%Ambiguity (Equivocation)10.8%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.2%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.0%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 7.2%Lauren Morganbesser: 9.3%Semafor: 5.1%Unattributed Quote7.2%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 5.9%Semafor: 3.9%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 4.3%Lauren Morganbesser: 8.6%Semafor: 9.4%Biased Writer Voice4.3%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 1.7%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 1.1%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 1.8%Semafor: 0.7%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 1.0%Lauren Morganbesser: 0.0%Semafor: 0.8%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…1.0%

417 words analyzed.

Speakers

3speakers51%attributed speech206writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Writer's voice • 6 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 30 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 18 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 20 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 11 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 1 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 16 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 44 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 100.0% coverageWriter's voice • 2 words • 0.0% coverageAaron-Andrew P. Bruhl • 20 words • 0.0% coverageAaron-Andrew P. Bruhl • 26 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 14 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 34 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 5 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 13 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 13 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 12 words • 0.0% coverageWriter's voice • 25 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 9 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 12 words • 0.0% coverageStephen Vladeck • 13 words • 0.0% coverageFred Smith • 44 words • 0.0% coverage
Selected voice

Aaron-Andrew P. Bruhl

100%flagged-word coverage
46 attributed words22% of attributed speech70% writer coverage
0%7.5%15.0%Unattributed Quote-14.6 ptsWriter: 14.6%Aaron-Andrew P. Bruhl: 0.0%0.0%Biased Writer Voice-8.7 ptsWriter: 8.7%Aaron-Andrew P. Bruhl: 0.0%0.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -1.9 ptsWriter: 1.9%Aaron-Andrew P. Bruhl: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.